Australia vs England 1st ODI Prediction (13 Nov): Projections & Preview
Australia host England at Perth Stadium for the 1st ODI of their series. First ball is at 11:30 AWST on Friday 13 November (03:30 UK time, 09:00 IST). This is a season opener for both sides in One Day Internationals 2026, and the Statz Cricket projections suggest a tightly contested affair with Australia holding a lean edge.
For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Australia vs England fixture page on Statz.
The Venue and Toss Prediction
Perth Stadium is a bowler-friendly ground where batting has been challenging in recent ODI cricket. Across the last 4 matches here, the average match total stands at 340.3 and the average first-innings score is 225.1. Teams batting first have won only 33.3% of matches at this venue – a significant toss disadvantage.
The pitch favours seam bowling heavily. Seam bowlers have taken 73.7% of wickets at an economy rate of 4.71, while spinners account for 19.3% of dismissals at 5.63. The ground is compact, which suppresses scoring and rewards disciplined bowling.
Australia have played 2 ODIs here since 2021, winning one and losing one. England have no record at Perth Stadium in this format. Given the toss data, bowling first appears the smarter call – Australia win 54.3% when they bowl first compared to 53% batting first, while England improve from 42.7% to 44% with the ball in hand.
Form and Table
Australia
Australia have won their last match and arrive in Perth on the back of a strong run. Their last five ODIs were all played away from home:
- 30 Sep vs South Africa (A): W – AUS 322/9, SA 145/4
- 27 Sep vs South Africa (A): L – AUS 333/10, SA 365/9
- 24 Sep vs South Africa (A): L – AUS 230/10, SA 297/8
- 20 Sep vs Zimbabwe (A): W – AUS 272/9, ZIM 271/8
- 18 Sep vs Zimbabwe (A): W – AUS 356/6, ZIM 272/10
England
England have also won their last match, showing positive momentum heading into this series. Their recent form spans home, away and neutral venues:
- 29 Oct vs Sri Lanka (N): W – ENG 386/5, SL 331/10
- 25 Oct vs Pakistan (A): L – ENG 241/10, PAK 243/9
- 22 Oct vs Sri Lanka (N): L – ENG 429/4, SL 430/8
- 20 Oct vs Pakistan (A): L – ENG 215/10, PAK 302/9
- 27 Sep vs Sri Lanka (H): W – ENG 355/7, SL 132/10
Head-to-Head
In 15 meetings across One Day Internationals, England hold a commanding 11-4 record over Australia. However, the recent trend favours the hosts. In their last five meetings, Australia have won three – including victories at Trent Bridge (by 7 wickets), Headingley (by 68 runs) and County Ground (by 49 runs under the Duckworth-Lewis method). England’s most recent win came at Lord’s by 186 runs on 27 September 2024.
The leading performers in this fixture tell an interesting story. Travis Head has 829 runs in 18 meetings against England at an average well above his career norm, while Adam Zampa has taken 36 wickets in just 7 matches – a devastating strike rate. For England, Joe Root leads the run-scorers with 573 runs in 9 matches, and Adil Rashid has claimed 35 wickets in 13 meetings.
Statz Projections and Projected Score
The Statz projections paint this as a close contest with a slight Australian lean.
If Australia bat first: Projected first-innings total of 244.4, match total of 463.6. Win probability – Australia 53%, England 44%, tie/no result 3%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 198 to 285.
If England bat first: Projected first-innings total of 235, match total of 453.6. Win probability – Australia 54.3%, England 42.7%, tie/no result 3%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 180 to 281.
The projected match total of 459 is 118.7 runs above the Perth Stadium average of 340.3, suggesting both sides will find the conditions more favourable than recent history at this ground. Whether Australia bat first their projected first innings of 244.4 is 19.3 runs above the ground’s first-innings average; if England bat first their projected first innings of 235 is 9.9 runs above the ground’s first-innings average. Match total P10-P90 range: 390 to 530.
Season Leaders
Australia – One Day Internationals 2026
Runs: Cooper Connolly – 408 runs, 40.8 a match, HS 149 | Matt Renshaw – 344 runs, 28.67 a match, HS 109 | Josh Inglis – 334 runs, 33.4 a match, HS 103
Wickets: Nathan Ellis – 22 wickets, 2.2 a match, best 5 | Adam Zampa – 11 wickets, 1 a match, best 2 | Matt Renshaw – 9 wickets, 0.75 a match, best 2
England – One Day Internationals 2026
Runs: Joe Root – 573 runs, 63.67 a match, HS 111 | Ben Duckett – 391 runs, 43.44 a match, HS 141 | Harry Brook – 360 runs, 40 a match, HS 136
Wickets: Will Jacks – 10 wickets, 1.25 a match, best 5 | Adil Rashid – 8 wickets, 1.33 a match, best 3 | Gus Atkinson – 8 wickets, 1.6 a match, best 3
Predicted XIs
This is a season opener with squad sheets confirmed but no recent XI to draw from. Both sides will field their strongest available lineups from their verified squads.
Australia (Likely XI)
Travis Head, Marnus Labuschagne, Mitchell Marsh, Matt Renshaw, Alex Carey (wk), Cameron Green, Pat Cummins, Adam Zampa, Mitchell Starc, Josh Hazlewood, Nathan Ellis.
England (Likely XI)
Zak Crawley, Ben Duckett, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Jos Buttler (wk), Tom Banton, Sam Curran, Jofra Archer, Adil Rashid, Gus Atkinson, Brydon Carse.
These are likely lineups based on the verified squad sheets. Always check the fixture page on Statz for confirmed XIs on match day.
Dream11 Captain and Vice Captain Picks
Captain: Xavier Bartlett – projected 123.4 points. The quick has taken 22 wickets this season at 2.2 a match and carries an 85.7% hit rate for 1+ wicket this cycle. His pace and aggression make him a standout captaincy option.
Vice Captain: Travis Head – projected 109.3 points. The Australian batter has 266 runs at 44.3 a match this season and sits at 66.7% for 20+ runs. His record against England (829 runs in 18 meetings) is exceptional.
Also consider:
- Joe Root – projected ~104 points – 573 season runs, 63.67 a match, 77.8% hit rate for 30+ runs
- Mitchell Marsh – projected ~95 points – 297 season runs at 49.5 a match, 83.3% hit rate for 20+ runs
- Jofra Archer – projected ~104 points – 80% hit rate for 1+ wicket this season
Key Players
Travis Head (Australia)
The Australian middle-order batter has been in outstanding form against England. With 829 runs in 18 meetings at an average that speaks for itself, Head is the key to Australia’s batting plans. This season he has 266 runs at 44.3 a match with a high score of 84. His last three scores of 36, 84 and 24 show a player capable of big contributions. The Statz bet builder shows Head has hit 20+ runs in 80% of his matches this season.
Joe Root (England)
England’s run-scoring machine has been relentless this season. With 573 runs at 63.67 a match and a high score of 111, Root sits fourth in the global ODI run-scoring charts for 2026. His 77.8% hit rate for 30+ runs is elite-level consistency. Against Australia, Root has 653 runs in 14 meetings – a formidable record that makes him England’s most important batter.
Nathan Ellis (Australia)
Australia’s leading wicket-taker this season with 22 wickets at 2.2 a match. Ellis has taken at least one wicket in 80% of his matches and 2+ wickets in 60% – a bowler in peak form. His pace and ability to take wickets at the death make him crucial to Australia’s bowling attack on a ground where seam bowling dominates.
Adam Zampa (Australia)
The leg-spinner’s record against England is extraordinary – 36 wickets in just 7 meetings. While he has taken 11 wickets this season at 1 a match, his experience and skill in the format make him a key factor. On a Perth pitch that favours seam, Zampa’s ability to pick up crucial middle-order wickets could prove decisive.
Conditions
Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Perth with temperatures around 27 degrees at the start of play and humidity at 41%. No rain is expected. Wind is moderate at 14 km/h from the west – conditions that should assist seam bowling early and provide a pleasant day for cricket.
Who Will Win Australia vs England?
Australia are the pick at 53.7% to win this 1st ODI, with England at 43.4%. This is a lean edge rather than a strong conviction, reflecting how evenly matched these sides are. Australia’s home advantage at Perth, combined with their recent form and the slight bowling-first advantage the ground offers, tips the balance in their favour. However, England’s quality – particularly Root’s form and their bowling depth – keeps this contest genuinely competitive. The projected match total of 459 sits well above Perth’s average, suggesting both batting lineups will find opportunities to score.
Betting Angles
Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time odds and hit rates on this fixture:
- Travis Head 20+ runs – 80% season hit rate, 66.7% this cycle. The Australian batter has been consistently dangerous against England.
- Joe Root 30+ runs – 77.8% season hit rate. England’s talisman has been in exceptional form this cycle.
- Nathan Ellis 1+ wicket – 80% season hit rate. Australia’s leading wicket-taker has been relentless.
- Mitchell Marsh 20+ runs – 83.3% season hit rate. The all-rounder has been a consistent run-scorer for Australia.
Australia vs England Prediction FAQ
Q: Who will win Australia vs England?
A: Australia are favoured at 53.7% to win this 1st ODI, with England at 43.4%. It is a lean edge – both sides are evenly matched. Australia’s home advantage and recent form give them the slight edge, but England’s quality keeps this competitive.
Q: What is the projected score?
A: The projected match total is 459 runs, which is 118.7 runs above Perth Stadium’s average of 340.3. If Australia bat first, the projected first innings is 244.4; if England bat first, it is 235. Both scenarios suggest higher-scoring cricket than Perth’s recent history.
Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?
A: The toss data favours bowling first at Perth. Australia win 54.3% when they bowl first compared to 53% batting first. England improve from 42.7% to 44% with the ball in hand. Bowling first appears the smarter call on this bowler-friendly pitch.
Q: Is Australia a good bet?
A: Australia’s 53.7% win probability offers indicative value, but this is a lean edge rather than a strong conviction. Travis Head’s record against England (829 runs in 18 meetings) and Nathan Ellis’s form (22 wickets this season) are genuine strengths. However, Joe Root’s exceptional season (573 runs at 63.67 a match) and England’s bowling depth keep this genuinely competitive. Nothing is guaranteed in this fixture.
