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Welsh Fire vs London Spirit - Projections & Predictions · The Hundred

Welsh Fire WF 2:00 PM LS London Spirit
Bet Builder ↗

Projected win probability

toss pending · blend of both scenarios
WF
LS
Total
ground avg 264.2
1st inn
ground avg 135.7
Sixes
ground avg 8.4
Fours
ground avg 22.2
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High

Model vs market

best available odds
Winner
Odds
Implied
Statz edge
Welsh Fire Welsh Fire
1.80
55.6%
-6.5%
London Spirit London Spirit
2.10
47.6%
-3.2%
Edge = model probability minus market implied probability.
WF projected boundaries
2.5 6s
8.8 4s
Ground 6s factor 0.77x
LS projected boundaries
3.5 6s
11.1 4s
Ground 4s factor 1.02x

Player projections

Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
Welsh Fire Runs Balls SR 4s 6s B Wkts Conc Econ Ct St RO Perf D11
Philip Salt 20.7 15 138 1.8 1.0 - - - - 0.4 - 0.2 24.5 35.1
Matthew Short 23.4 16 142 2.8 0.7 7 0.3 11 16.5 0.2 - - 31.3 43.3
Joe Root 25.9 20 129 2.4 0.6 6 0.2 7 11.8 0.5 - - 33.7 44.3
Tom Kohler-Cadmore 18.8 15 128 1.3 0.9 - - - - 0.4 - 0.1 22.6 30.8
Jordan Cox 23.9 15 157 2.1 1.2 - - - - 0.6 - 0.0 29.9 39.7
Rachin Ravindra 23.4 13 183 2.1 1.1 11 0.6 16 10.8 0.3 - 0.1 38.0 53.4
Marco Jansen 3.8 3 122 0.3 0.1 18 0.6 27 9.1 0.2 - 0.3 17.7 29.3
Chris Woakes 7.1 6 110 0.4 0.2 18 1.0 25 8.2 0.2 - 0.1 28.5 41.5
Jordan Clark 3.2 4 91 0.1 0.0 10 0.7 20 14.5 0.1 - - 18.3 27.8
Lockie Ferguson 7.0 6 123 0.1 0.7 21 1.1 26 9.2 0.3 - 0.1 32.0 46.8
Samuel Cook 2.8 2 115 0.3 0.1 19 1.2 28 10.3 0.4 - 0.0 31.7 46.2
Full squad projections (5 more)
London Spirit Runs Balls SR 4s 6s B Wkts Conc Econ Ct St RO Perf D11
Lhuan-dre Pretorius 23.9 14 176 2.2 1.8 - - - - 0.2 - - 25.5 37.2
Jonny Bairstow 22.4 16 141 2.3 1.0 - - - - 0.5 - 0.1 27.3 37.9
Dewald Brevis 25.6 17 151 1.9 1.6 - - - - 0.3 - 0.1 28.4 40.7
Liam Livingstone 26.8 18 152 1.8 1.8 8 0.3 19 15.7 0.4 - 0.1 36.8 51.3
James Coles 12.5 10 127 1.5 0.2 14 0.4 22 12.4 0.6 - 0.1 26.7 36.1
Joseph Moores 12.6 10 140 1.1 0.6 - - - - 1.0 - - 22.6 27.0
David Willey 11.8 9 139 1.1 0.5 17 0.9 22 8.7 0.3 - 0.1 33.5 47.5
Jamie Overton 12.2 8 147 1.0 0.7 10 0.7 16 10.9 0.6 - - 31.3 42.0
Adam Milne 3.3 4 95 0.2 0.1 18 1.1 21 7.9 0.3 - 0.0 29.1 42.5
Mason Crane 3.8 4 105 0.5 0.0 18 0.9 32 12.1 0.4 - - 24.5 35.1
Henry Crocombe 4.5 4 110 0.3 0.2 23 0.5 25 7.2 0.0 - - 14.5 23.1
Full squad projections (7 more)
Tymal Mills LS 1.6 wkts 56.7 D11 37.6 PP
Rachin Ravindra WF 23.4 runs 53.4 D11 38.0 PP
Liam Livingstone LS 26.8 runs 51.3 D11 36.8 PP
David Willey LS 0.9 wkts 47.5 D11 33.5 PP
Lockie Ferguson WF 1.1 wkts 46.8 D11 32.0 PP
Samuel Cook WF 1.2 wkts 46.2 D11 31.7 PP
Joe Root WF 25.9 runs 44.3 D11 33.7 PP
Matthew Short WF 23.4 runs 43.3 D11 31.3 PP
Track record
56.5% model win rate across 418 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine · v7 · 1 hour ago