Essex vs Warwickshire - Preview, Predictions & H2H · County Championship Division One
Essex
L
W
W
W
D
Division 1
County Championship Division One · Division 1
10:00 AM UTC
Tue, Sep 15
Warwickshire
W
D
D
D
W
ESS lead H2H 4–3
Snater 8 straight wickets (1+)
ESSEssex
10:00 AM
WARWarwickshire
County Championship Division One · Division 1
The Statz verdict
Essex lead this head-to-head 4–3. The season batting edge is ESS's, 296.9 runs per game vs 290.3, while WAR's attack takes 10.3 wickets a match, the better bowling unit.
Auto-generated from Statz data · refreshes through match day
Head-to-head record
10 meetings · 2019–2026
4
3
3 draws
Pro · Win probability
32%
26%
ESS
WAR
Projected total, innings scores and match sixes for this fixture.
Season comparison
50%
33.3%
Win rate
296.9
290.3
Avg runs
297.3
262.2
Avg conceded
9.9
10.3
Avg wickets
2
3.4
Avg sixes
40
39.9
Avg boundaries
Dream11 · Optimal XI
+8
1608 projected points · captaincy pick + reasoning, re-run when XIs confirm.
Build & Rate →
Pro · Win probability
32%
26%
ESS
WAR
Projected total, innings scores and match sixes for this fixture.
Pro · Projections
Win probability, totals and 34-player projections are unlocked for you.
Dream11 · Optimal XI
+8
1608 projected points · captaincy pick + reasoning, re-run when XIs confirm.
Build & Rate →
Projection values are hidden. Pro members see exact win %, totals and every player projection.
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Projected win probability
toss pending · blend of both scenarios
ESS
WAR
Middle segment = projected draw
Projected totalTotal
1st innings1st inn
Match sixesSixes
Match foursFours
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High
ESS projected boundaries
2.8 6s
39.7 4s
WAR projected boundaries
2.8 6s
39.9 4s
Player projections
expected XI · per-player output
Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
| Essex | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | Ov | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Elgar | 62.7 | 127 | 50 | 8.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | - | - | 69.3 | 113.0 |
| Tom Westley | 61.9 | 134 | 46 | 8.3 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | - | 65.0 | 108.9 |
| Michael Pepper | 39.3 | 64 | 61 | 4.8 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 2.8 | - | 0.0 | 67.3 | 90.1 |
| Paul Walter | 57.9 | 100 | 58 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 12 | 4.1 | 0.9 | - | 0.0 | 73.9 | 116.6 |
| Charlie Allison | 62.5 | 112 | 56 | 8.3 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | 0.1 | 66.5 | 114.3 |
| Matthew Critchley | 60.7 | 102 | 59 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 14.7 | 1.6 | 49 | 3.3 | 0.6 | - | - | 99.2 | 145.6 |
| Luc Benkenstein | 25.9 | 62 | 42 | 3.7 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | - | - | 32.4 | 50.7 |
| Simon Harmer | 33.5 | 71 | 47 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 36.9 | 3.0 | 96 | 2.6 | 1.2 | - | - | 105.0 | 135.7 |
| Shane Snater | 23.4 | 34 | 68 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 23.7 | 3.1 | 71 | 3.0 | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 89.9 | 117.3 |
| James Porter | 5.9 | 19 | 31 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 4.8 | 244 | 2.6 | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 105.3 | 128.4 |
| Charlie Bennett | 11.8 | 24 | 49 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 17.4 | 2.3 | 85 | 4.9 | 0.0 | - | - | 56.9 | 76.2 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (9 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Wiaan Mulder | 44.7 | 79 | 57 | 5.6 | 0.2 | 21.1 | 3.1 | 67 | 3.2 | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 108.6 | 149.7 |
| Jordan Cox | 79.0 | 122 | 65 | 10.6 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 1.1 | - | - | 89.6 | 147.1 |
| Samuel Cook | 12.8 | 29 | 44 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 27.5 | 4.3 | 73 | 2.6 | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 103.6 | 127.1 |
| Zaman Akhter | 32.5 | 51 | 64 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 19.0 | 2.2 | 124 | 6.5 | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 78.9 | 111.1 |
| Noah Thain | 26.1 | 65 | 40 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 1.1 | 51 | 4.7 | 0.3 | - | - | 50.7 | 72.1 |
| Simon Fernandes | 5.0 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 4.0 | - | 1.0 | 45.0 | 52.9 |
| Robin Das | 20.4 | 51 | 40 | 2.6 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.8 | - | - | 28.0 | 41.2 |
| Mackenzie Jones | 5.0 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 27 | 7.6 | 1.0 | - | - | 24.8 | 30.6 |
| Mitchell Killeen | 5.0 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 27 | 7.6 | 0.0 | - | - | 15.0 | 22.7 |
| Warwickshire | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | Ov | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Davies | 42.9 | 75 | 57 | 6.1 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 1.7 | - | - | 60.1 | 90.7 |
| Robert Yates | 50.5 | 99 | 51 | 7.4 | 0.1 | 10.4 | 0.6 | 31 | 3.0 | 1.8 | - | - | 81.3 | 118.6 |
| Sam Hain | 68.0 | 152 | 45 | 7.1 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - | 0.0 | 77.9 | 118.5 |
| Beau Webster | 50.1 | 83 | 60 | 6.2 | 0.5 | 19.9 | 1.7 | 63 | 3.2 | 0.9 | - | - | 92.0 | 131.6 |
| Dan Mousley | 42.3 | 71 | 60 | 6.0 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 13 | 3.7 | 0.7 | - | - | 52.1 | 84.2 |
| Zen Malik | 37.6 | 73 | 51 | 4.6 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | - | - | 44.8 | 71.7 |
| Ed Barnard | 56.9 | 93 | 61 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 21.0 | 2.1 | 61 | 2.9 | 0.5 | - | 0.1 | 103.6 | 149.9 |
| Jordan Thompson | 27.6 | 45 | 62 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 23.6 | 2.7 | 72 | 3.0 | 0.2 | - | 0.0 | 82.9 | 112.8 |
| Manav Suthar | 20.9 | 31 | 68 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 23.7 | 2.1 | 127 | 5.3 | 0.5 | - | - | 68.2 | 92.5 |
| Ethan Bamber | 17.7 | 33 | 53 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 33.4 | 4.1 | 91 | 2.7 | 0.2 | - | 0.0 | 101.5 | 129.7 |
| Nathan Gilchrist | 10.1 | 25 | 40 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 26.1 | 3.6 | 95 | 3.7 | 0.2 | - | 0.0 | 83.4 | 104.8 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (14 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Keith Barker | 33.1 | 56 | 59 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 30.2 | 3.6 | 75 | 2.5 | 0.1 | - | 0.0 | 106.2 | 141.2 |
| Chris Woakes | 33.3 | 53 | 63 | 5.2 | 0.2 | 31.1 | 3.0 | 84 | 2.7 | 0.4 | - | - | 97.2 | 133.6 |
| Michael Booth | 21.7 | 42 | 51 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 22.1 | 3.4 | 85 | 3.9 | 0.1 | - | - | 90.9 | 118.7 |
| Kai Smith | 42.7 | 76 | 56 | 5.2 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 3.0 | - | 0.2 | 72.3 | 100.1 |
| Oliver Hannon-Dalby | 4.6 | 21 | 22 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 28.7 | 3.4 | 75 | 2.6 | 0.2 | - | 0.0 | 74.9 | 91.2 |
| Jacob Bethell | 37.9 | 78 | 48 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 10.0 | 0.4 | 35 | 3.5 | 0.9 | - | - | 54.7 | 83.5 |
| Che Simmons | 10.8 | 32 | 34 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 15.3 | 2.3 | 66 | 4.3 | 0.2 | - | - | 60.0 | 73.9 |
| Tazeem Ali | 8.5 | 21 | 40 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 21.9 | 2.0 | 84 | 3.8 | 0.4 | - | - | 51.9 | 65.2 |
| Hamza Shaikh | 25.7 | 73 | 35 | 3.8 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | - | - | 32.9 | 51.4 |
| Theo Wylie | 17.1 | 13 | 135 | 1.5 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 20.1 | 34.8 |
| Vansh Jani | 17.1 | 13 | 135 | 1.5 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 20.1 | 34.8 |
| Richard Gleeson | 4.8 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 7.9 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.8 | 26.3 |
| George Garton | 4.8 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 7.9 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.8 | 26.3 |
| Ben Blakemore | 4.8 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 7.9 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.8 | 26.3 |
Ed Barnard WAR
56.9 runs
149.9 D11
103.6 PP
Wiaan Mulder ESS
44.7 runs
149.7 D11
108.6 PP
Jordan Cox ESS
79.0 runs
147.1 D11
89.6 PP
Matthew Critchley ESS
60.7 runs
145.6 D11
99.2 PP
Keith Barker WAR
33.1 runs
141.2 D11
106.2 PP
Simon Harmer ESS
33.5 runs
135.7 D11
105.0 PP
Chris Woakes WAR
33.3 runs
133.6 D11
97.2 PP
Beau Webster WAR
50.1 runs
131.6 D11
92.0 PP
45 players · full breakdown with Pro
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Track record
56.5% model win rate across 439 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine
· v3 · 4 days ago
What Pro unlocks here
✓Exact win % both scenarios
✓Projected totals, sixes & fours
✓45-player stat projections
✓Model-vs-market edges
✓Dream11 optimal teams
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These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.
STATZ
ESS
vs
WAR
OPTIMAL
County Championship Division One • Tue, 15 Sep • 10:00
Projected Points
1608PTS
Rating
100/100
Wicket-Keepers
M. Pepper
92.2 pts
Batters
C. Allison
117.7 pts
R. Yates
116.9 pts
S. Hain
116.5 pts
All-Rounders
C
M. Critchley
148.9 pts
B. Webster
130 pts
P. Walter
119.7 pts
Bowlers
VC
E. Barnard
148.1 pts
S. Harmer
137.5 pts
E. Bamber
129.2 pts
J. Porter
128.7 pts
Built with Statz
STATZ
ESS
vs
WAR
AGGRESSIVE
County Championship Division One • Tue, 15 Sep • 10:00
Projected Points
1576PTS
Rating
100/100
Wicket-Keepers
A. Davies
89.3 pts
Batters
C. Allison
117.7 pts
R. Yates
116.9 pts
T. Westley
112.2 pts
All-Rounders
VC
M. Critchley
148.9 pts
B. Webster
130 pts
P. Walter
119.7 pts
Bowlers
S. Harmer
137.5 pts
C
E. Barnard
148.1 pts
E. Bamber
129.2 pts
N. Gilchrist
104.4 pts
Built with Statz
STATZ
ESS
vs
WAR
TOSS HEDGE
County Championship Division One • Tue, 15 Sep • 10:00
Projected Points
1602PTS
Rating
100/100
Wicket-Keepers
A. Davies
92.1 pts
Batters
S. Hain
120.5 pts
R. Yates
120.2 pts
C. Allison
110.8 pts
All-Rounders
VC
M. Critchley
142.3 pts
B. Webster
133.2 pts
Bowlers
C
E. Barnard
151.6 pts
S. Harmer
133.9 pts
E. Bamber
130.2 pts
J. Porter
128.1 pts
S. Snater
116 pts
Built with Statz
Why this team
- Captain pick: Matthew Critchley (148.9 pts) - narrowest of margins over the VC.
- Slight ESS edge (6-5) - marginally more of their players grade as fantasy-relevant; flip the balance if you back WAR's XI more.
Three teams per match
Optimal: highest projected points.
Small League: safe floor picks.
Grand League: higher-variance ceiling.
All re-run when XIs confirm.
Small League: safe floor picks.
Grand League: higher-variance ceiling.
All re-run when XIs confirm.
Venue not yet announced
Ground stats will appear once the venue is confirmed
Top performers in this fixture
from 10 H2H meetings
ESS in form
WAR in form
Pro · Player projections
Jordan Cox projected 81.5 runs at 65 SR.
Predicted XIs based on each side's last completed match. Confirmed lineups usually land ~30 min before the toss — this page updates automatically.
Get XI alerts
Essex
Last XI vs Nottinghamshire · 19 Jun 2026
10
Simon Harmer
Warwickshire
Last XI vs Sussex · 20 Aug 2026
10
Ethan Bamber
Full squads
Essex
Full squad · 20 players
played in the last recorded XI · refreshed daily
Full Essex squad →
Warwickshire
Full squad · 26 players
played in the last recorded XI · refreshed daily
Full Warwickshire squad →
XI consistency
ESS
made 1 change for their last match.
WAR
made 5 changes for their last match.
Derived from recorded XIs; updates automatically.
When XIs confirm…
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Pro · Bench watch
Projected output for all 45 squad players if they make the XI, so you spot the upgrade early.
Who is playing in Essex vs Warwickshire?
Confirmed XIs are announced around the toss, ~30 minutes before the start. Based on their last matches, Essex are likely to field Paul Walter, Dean Elgar, Tom Westley, James Porter and 7 more, and Warwickshire Robert Yates, Zen Malik, Dan Mousley, Will Young and 7 more — full predicted XIs and squads are on this page.
Who leads the Essex vs Warwickshire head-to-head record?
Essex lead 4–3 from 10 matches.
What is Essex's current form in 2026?
Essex have won 4 and lost 3 from 8 matches in 2026, averaging 296.9 runs per match.
What is Warwickshire's current form in 2026?
Warwickshire have won 3 and lost 1 from 9 matches in 2026, averaging 290.3 runs per match.
Where is Essex vs Warwickshire being played?
Essex vs Warwickshire is being played on 15 Sep 2026 at 15:30 IST.
Who are the top run-scorers in Essex vs Warwickshire head-to-head matches?
The top run-scorers in Essex vs Warwickshire H2H are Tom Westley (598 runs), Michael Burgess (342 runs), Ed Barnard (334 runs).
Who are the top wicket-takers in Essex vs Warwickshire head-to-head matches?
The top wicket-takers in Essex vs Warwickshire H2H are Shane Snater (18 wkts), Simon Harmer (17 wkts), James Porter (15 wkts).
Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Essex and Warwickshire?
The leading run-scorers in 2026 are Charlie Allison (431 runs), Dan Mousley (417 runs), Matthew Critchley (397 runs).
Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Essex and Warwickshire?
The leading wicket-takers in 2026 are Ethan Bamber (25 wkts), James Porter (18 wkts), Shane Snater (16 wkts).
Where are Essex and Warwickshire in the standings?
Essex are 6th with 56 points and Warwickshire are 4th with 72 points.