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Essex vs Surrey

Essex vs Surrey - Projections & Predictions · County Championship Division One

Essex

L W W W D

Division 1

County Championship Division One · Division 1 · County Ground

10:00 AM UTC

Thu, Aug 27 · County Ground, Chelmsford · County Ground

Surrey

L L D L D

SUR lead H2H 2–1 1004 avg total here 51.3% boundary rate Snater 8 straight wickets (1+)

ESSEssex 10:00 AM SURSurrey Surrey

County Championship Division One · Division 1 · County Ground

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Projected win probability

toss pending · blend of both scenarios

ESS

SUR

Middle segment = projected draw

Projected totalTotal

ground avg 1,003.7

1st innings1st inn

ground avg 350.3

Match sixesSixes

ground avg 9.6

Match foursFours

ground avg 114.4

MODEL CONFIDENCE

High

ESS projected boundaries

3.3 6s

43.2 4s

Ground 6s factor 1.15x

SUR projected boundaries

4.8 6s

45.9 4s

Ground 4s factor 1.05x

Player projections

expected XI · per-player output

Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs

Essex	Runs	Balls	SR	4s	6s	Ov	Wkts	Conc	Econ	Ct	St	RO	Perf	D11
Dean Elgar	72.5	146	50	9.6	0.2	-	-	-	-	0.7	-	-	79.1	129.7
Tom Westley	71.0	154	46	9.5	0.2	-	-	-	-	0.3	-	-	74.1	124.5
Michael Pepper	46.0	75	61	5.5	0.5	-	-	-	-	2.8	-	0.0	74.0	101.5
Paul Walter	62.9	109	58	8.1	0.6	2.9	0.4	12	4.3	0.9	-	0.0	79.2	125.6
Charlie Allison	66.4	119	56	8.8	0.7	-	-	-	-	0.4	-	0.1	70.4	121.2
Matthew Critchley	66.3	112	59	8.0	0.6	14.7	1.7	51	3.5	0.6	-	-	106.1	156.6
Luc Benkenstein	28.5	68	42	4.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	0.7	-	-	35.0	55.2
Simon Harmer	36.9	78	47	4.5	0.5	36.9	3.1	101	2.7	1.2	-	-	110.9	144.5
Shane Snater	25.8	38	68	2.9	0.8	23.7	3.3	74	3.1	0.4	-	0.0	94.9	124.7
James Porter	6.3	21	31	0.9	0.0	60.0	5.0	254	2.7	0.4	-	0.0	109.7	134.1
Charlie Bennett	14.0	29	49	2.5	0.1	17.4	2.4	89	5.1	0.0	-	-	61.0	82.2
▾ Full squad projections (9 more)
Wiaan Mulder	49.3	87	57	6.2	0.2	21.1	3.3	70	3.3	0.2	-	0.1	115.9	160.6
Jordan Cox	82.6	128	65	11.1	0.6	-	-	-	-	1.1	-	-	93.2	153.3
Samuel Cook	14.1	32	44	1.6	0.1	27.5	4.5	76	2.8	0.4	-	0.0	108.5	133.5
Zaman Akhter	38.6	60	64	5.1	0.5	19.0	2.3	129	6.8	0.2	-	0.1	86.8	123.9
Noah Thain	29.3	73	40	3.9	0.0	11.0	1.1	54	4.9	0.3	-	-	54.8	78.5
Simon Fernandes	5.9	6	110	0.4	0.3	-	-	-	-	4.0	-	1.0	45.9	54.3
Robin Das	25.6	64	40	3.3	0.0	-	-	-	-	0.8	-	-	33.2	49.8
Mackenzie Jones	5.9	6	110	0.4	0.3	3.5	0.5	34	9.6	1.0	-	-	25.7	32.0
Mitchell Killeen	5.9	6	110	0.4	0.3	3.5	0.5	34	9.6	0.0	-	-	15.9	24.1

Surrey	Runs	Balls	SR	4s	6s	Ov	Wkts	Conc	Econ	Ct	St	RO	Perf	D11
Rory Burns	60.5	114	53	7.7	0.4	-	-	-	-	0.9	-	0.0	69.0	111.2
Dominic Sibley	87.2	194	45	9.3	0.6	-	-	-	-	0.7	-	-	94.3	148.4
Ollie Pope	78.6	122	64	9.6	0.5	-	-	-	-	1.4	-	0.1	92.5	145.0
Ryan Patel	51.6	97	53	6.7	0.5	2.7	0.2	10	3.8	0.6	-	0.1	60.9	99.8
Daniel Lawrence	78.6	102	77	9.0	1.5	13.2	0.8	44	3.3	0.5	-	0.0	98.9	158.5
Adam Thomas	56.8	102	56	5.1	0.7	5.9	0.2	28	4.8	0.8	-	0.2	67.9	103.4
Sam Curran	68.5	88	78	8.8	1.3	19.0	2.2	48	2.6	0.5	-	0.0	116.1	175.9
Sean Abbott	45.7	63	73	4.9	1.0	30.7	3.1	90	2.9	0.2	-	-	109.7	151.6
Jordan Clark	42.0	65	64	4.7	0.7	26.3	3.1	77	2.9	0.2	-	0.0	106.5	145.2
Rahul Chahar	18.5	32	59	1.9	0.7	17.1	2.4	93	5.4	0.0	-	-	66.8	89.0
Gus Atkinson	20.0	35	57	2.4	0.3	28.1	3.6	80	2.9	0.2	-	0.0	93.5	119.3
Tom Lawes	27.4	46	59	3.9	0.3	20.5	2.5	73	3.6	0.4	-	0.1	80.7	109.5
▾ Full squad projections (22 more)
Ben Foakes	73.0	148	49	9.3	0.4	-	-	-	-	3.6	-	0.0	108.6	153.6
Jamie Overton	39.1	53	74	4.5	1.1	20.3	2.7	66	3.2	1.8	-	-	110.4	145.2
Jamie Smith	71.2	110	65	9.7	0.8	-	-	-	-	1.2	-	0.0	83.6	137.5
Will Jacks	58.1	77	75	6.7	1.5	17.1	1.0	48	2.8	1.1	-	-	88.2	134.2
Daniel Worrall	14.7	20	73	1.7	0.5	31.1	4.3	76	2.5	0.4	-	-	104.2	130.9
Tom Curran	51.5	69	74	5.7	2.2	17.5	1.1	54	3.1	0.7	-	-	80.4	126.7
Matthew Fisher	19.3	50	39	2.4	0.2	28.7	3.7	86	3.0	0.3	-	0.0	95.7	121.5
Cameron Steel	34.3	74	46	4.0	0.4	14.0	1.3	55	4.0	0.4	-	0.0	63.4	91.0
Ralphie Albert	22.9	30	76	3.6	0.3	8.4	1.5	43	5.1	0.5	-	-	57.4	81.2
Josh Blake	39.4	82	48	4.8	0.1	-	-	-	-	1.0	-	-	49.2	74.0
Reece Topley	4.0	6	72	0.7	0.0	24.3	2.0	77	3.2	0.2	-	-	46.1	58.0
James Taylor	14.9	45	33	2.2	0.1	19.9	1.1	69	3.5	0.2	-	-	39.8	56.1
Ollie Sykes	19.8	25	81	2.5	0.3	3.5	0.5	33	9.4	0.5	-	-	34.9	51.1
Laurie Evans	21.7	17	135	1.8	0.8	-	-	-	-	0.3	-	0.2	24.7	42.3
Nikhil Gorantla	21.7	17	135	1.8	0.8	-	-	-	-	0.3	-	0.2	24.7	42.3
Jason Roy	19.9	28	71	1.7	0.7	-	-	-	-	0.7	-	-	26.6	40.4
Tom Ealham	12.1	10	130	1.0	0.5	3.5	0.5	33	9.4	0.3	-	0.2	25.1	38.1
Yousef Majid	12.1	10	130	1.0	0.5	3.5	0.5	33	9.4	0.0	-	-	22.1	34.3
Chris Jordan	6.0	6	110	0.4	0.3	3.5	0.5	33	9.4	0.3	-	0.2	19.0	28.2
Nathan Barnwell	6.0	6	110	0.4	0.3	3.5	0.5	33	9.4	0.3	-	0.2	19.0	28.2
Seb Stuart - Reckling	6.0	6	110	0.4	0.3	3.5	0.5	33	9.4	0.3	-	0.2	19.0	28.2
Alex French	6.0	6	110	0.4	0.3	3.5	0.5	33	9.4	0.3	-	0.2	19.0	28.2

Sam Curran SUR 68.5 runs 175.9 D11 116.1 PP

Wiaan Mulder ESS 49.3 runs 160.6 D11 115.9 PP

Daniel Lawrence SUR 78.6 runs 158.5 D11 98.9 PP

Matthew Critchley ESS 66.3 runs 156.6 D11 106.1 PP

Ben Foakes SUR 73.0 runs 153.6 D11 108.6 PP

Jordan Cox ESS 82.6 runs 153.3 D11 93.2 PP

Sean Abbott SUR 45.7 runs 151.6 D11 109.7 PP

Dominic Sibley SUR 87.2 runs 148.4 D11 94.3 PP

Track record

56.5% model win rate across 439 settled matches · see history →

Projections generated by the Statz AI engine · v3 · 4 days ago

Track record

56.5%model win rate · 439 matches

See every past projection →

Next: Dream11

These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.

Who is playing in Essex vs Surrey?

Confirmed XIs are announced around the toss, ~30 minutes before the start. Based on their last matches, Essex are likely to field Paul Walter, Dean Elgar, Tom Westley, James Porter and 7 more, and Surrey Rory Burns, Dominic Sibley, Adam Thomas, Matthew Fisher and 7 more — full predicted XIs and squads are on this page.

Who leads the Essex vs Surrey head-to-head record?

Surrey lead 2–1 from 9 matches.

What is Essex's current form in 2026?

Essex have won 4 and lost 3 from 8 matches in 2026, averaging 296.9 runs per match.

What is Surrey's current form in 2026?

Surrey have won 1 and lost 3 from 9 matches in 2026, averaging 364.8 runs per match.

Where is Essex vs Surrey being played?

Essex vs Surrey is being played at County Ground on 27 Aug 2026 at 15:30 IST.

Who are the top run-scorers in Essex vs Surrey head-to-head matches?

The top run-scorers in Essex vs Surrey H2H are Matthew Critchley (410 runs), Daniel Lawrence (403 runs), Dominic Sibley (342 runs).

Who are the top wicket-takers in Essex vs Surrey head-to-head matches?

The top wicket-takers in Essex vs Surrey H2H are Simon Harmer (18 wkts), James Porter (17 wkts), Samuel Cook (13 wkts).

Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Essex and Surrey?

The leading run-scorers in 2026 are Daniel Lawrence (566 runs), Dominic Sibley (469 runs), Charlie Allison (431 runs).

Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Essex and Surrey?

The leading wicket-takers in 2026 are Matthew Fisher (19 wkts), James Porter (18 wkts), Shane Snater (16 wkts).

Where are Essex and Surrey in the standings?

Essex are 6th with 56 points and Surrey are 8th with 56 points.

What is the pitch like at County Ground?

At County Ground, 66.4% of wickets fall to seam and 29.9% to spin. The average match total is 935.8 runs with a first-innings average of 323.3. There are an average of 8.4 sixes per match and teams batting first have won 44.0% of matches.

What is Essex's record at County Ground?

Essex have won 20 and lost 5 from 39 matches at County Ground.

What is Surrey's record at County Ground?

Surrey have won 0 and lost 1 from 4 matches at County Ground.

Essex vs Surrey - Projections & Predictions · County Championship Division One

The Statz verdict

Head-to-head record

Season comparison

Projected win probability

Player projections

County Ground, Chelmsford

Last 5 matches here

Hit rates: who delivers?

Top performers in this fixture

Full squads

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is playing in Essex vs Surrey?

Who leads the Essex vs Surrey head-to-head record?

What is Essex's current form in 2026?

What is Surrey's current form in 2026?

Where is Essex vs Surrey being played?

Who are the top run-scorers in Essex vs Surrey head-to-head matches?

Who are the top wicket-takers in Essex vs Surrey head-to-head matches?

Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Essex and Surrey?

Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Essex and Surrey?

Where are Essex and Surrey in the standings?

What is the pitch like at County Ground?

What is Essex's record at County Ground?

What is Surrey's record at County Ground?

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Essex vs Surrey - Projections & Predictions · County Championship Division One

The Statz verdict

Head-to-head record

Season comparison

Projected win probability

Player projections

County Ground, Chelmsford

Last 5 matches here

Hit rates: who delivers?

Top performers in this fixture

Full squads

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is playing in Essex vs Surrey?

Who leads the Essex vs Surrey head-to-head record?

What is Essex's current form in 2026?

What is Surrey's current form in 2026?

Where is Essex vs Surrey being played?

Who are the top run-scorers in Essex vs Surrey head-to-head matches?

Who are the top wicket-takers in Essex vs Surrey head-to-head matches?

Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Essex and Surrey?

Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Essex and Surrey?

Where are Essex and Surrey in the standings?

What is the pitch like at County Ground?

What is Essex's record at County Ground?

What is Surrey's record at County Ground?

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