Middlesex vs Northamptonshire - Preview, Predictions & H2H · County Championship Division Two
Middlesex
L
W
L
W
D
Division 2
County Championship Division Two · Division 2
10:00 AM UTC
Thu, Sep 24
Northamptonshire
L
W
W
L
W
NOR lead H2H 2–1
Conway 8 straight wickets (1+)
MIDMiddlesex
10:00 AM
NORNorthamptonshire
County Championship Division Two · Division 2
The Statz verdict
Northamptonshire lead this head-to-head 2–1. The season batting edge is NOR's, 402.3 runs per game vs 315.9, while MID's attack takes 9.8 wickets a match, the better bowling unit.
Auto-generated from Statz data · refreshes through match day
Head-to-head record
5 meetings · 2023–2026
1
2
2 draws
Pro · Win probability
32%
26%
MID
NOR
Projected total, innings scores and match sixes for this fixture.
Season comparison
37.5%
37.5%
Win rate
315.9
402.3
Avg runs
330.1
330
Avg conceded
9.8
9.5
Avg wickets
1.3
3.3
Avg sixes
35.4
51.8
Avg boundaries
Dream11 · Optimal XI
+8
1613 projected points · captaincy pick + reasoning, re-run when XIs confirm.
Build & Rate →
Pro · Win probability
32%
26%
MID
NOR
Projected total, innings scores and match sixes for this fixture.
Pro · Projections
Win probability, totals and 34-player projections are unlocked for you.
Dream11 · Optimal XI
+8
1613 projected points · captaincy pick + reasoning, re-run when XIs confirm.
Build & Rate →
Projection values are hidden. Pro members see exact win %, totals and every player projection.
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Projected win probability
toss pending · blend of both scenarios
MID
NOR
Middle segment = projected draw
Projected totalTotal
1st innings1st inn
Match sixesSixes
Match foursFours
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High
MID projected boundaries
1.6 6s
32 4s
NOR projected boundaries
2.2 6s
34.1 4s
Player projections
expected XI · per-player output
Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
| Middlesex | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | Ov | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Robson | 57.0 | 111 | 51 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 12 | 4.8 | 0.9 | - | - | 70.7 | 108.7 |
| Max Holden | 68.9 | 136 | 51 | 8.5 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | - | 72.4 | 119.2 |
| Leus du Plooy | 88.4 | 139 | 63 | 8.8 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.6 | - | - | 94.5 | 145.6 |
| Ben Geddes | 47.7 | 92 | 52 | 5.3 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | - | - | 55.1 | 86.7 |
| Joe Cracknell | 52.8 | 91 | 58 | 6.3 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 3.1 | - | 0.1 | 83.7 | 114.8 |
| Caleb Falconer | 29.6 | 61 | 48 | 3.6 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | - | 34.7 | 54.6 |
| Zafar Gohar | 45.2 | 85 | 53 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 30.6 | 2.5 | 88 | 2.9 | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 96.1 | 133.7 |
| Toby Roland-Jones | 22.4 | 30 | 74 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 30.0 | 3.7 | 80 | 2.7 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 99.2 | 128.8 |
| Sebastian Morgan | 29.0 | 49 | 59 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 25.2 | 3.5 | 90 | 3.6 | 0.2 | - | - | 101.0 | 133.1 |
| Tom Helm | 15.1 | 31 | 49 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 29.6 | 3.6 | 90 | 3.0 | 0.9 | - | 0.1 | 95.6 | 116.9 |
| Naavya Sharma | 6.0 | 20 | 30 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 24.5 | 3.8 | 78 | 3.2 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 84.7 | 105.2 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (12 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Ryan Higgins | 47.0 | 86 | 55 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 28.5 | 3.6 | 73 | 2.6 | 0.8 | - | - | 127.8 | 166.7 |
| Josh de Caires | 32.3 | 67 | 48 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 18.4 | 2.6 | 52 | 2.9 | 0.3 | - | - | 87.1 | 117.9 |
| Jack Davies | 44.6 | 98 | 45 | 6.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | 0.1 | 64.7 | 98.3 |
| Noah Cornwell | 3.1 | 5 | 58 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 18.1 | 3.5 | 82 | 4.5 | 0.8 | - | - | 81.6 | 96.0 |
| Blake Cullen | 27.0 | 49 | 55 | 4.1 | 0.1 | 14.8 | 1.6 | 76 | 5.2 | 0.7 | - | 0.3 | 65.6 | 93.7 |
| Eathan Bosch | 17.7 | 41 | 43 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 23.5 | 2.7 | 86 | 3.7 | 0.4 | - | - | 75.6 | 93.5 |
| Luke Hollman | 45.7 | 89 | 51 | 6.3 | 0.2 | 9.6 | 0.5 | 41 | 4.3 | 0.2 | - | - | 56.6 | 91.9 |
| Harry Duke | 28.0 | 84 | 33 | 3.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 2.8 | - | - | 56.0 | 68.1 |
| Nathan Fernandes | 20.3 | 43 | 47 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 19 | 5.4 | 0.2 | - | - | 33.1 | 48.5 |
| Aaryan Sawant | 18.1 | 14 | 135 | 1.5 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 21.1 | 36.3 |
| James Feldman | 10.1 | 8 | 130 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 26 | 7.5 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 23.1 | 35.0 |
| Ishaan Kaushal | 5.0 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 26 | 7.5 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 18.0 | 26.7 |
| Northamptonshire | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | Ov | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Vasconcelos | 47.6 | 86 | 55 | 6.7 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 1.6 | - | - | 63.5 | 97.9 |
| Nathan McSweeney | 68.1 | 129 | 53 | 7.7 | 0.3 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 13 | 2.6 | 0.0 | - | 0.1 | 74.2 | 120.7 |
| Luke Procter | 53.5 | 110 | 49 | 6.3 | 0.2 | 16.4 | 1.3 | 51 | 3.1 | 0.2 | - | 0.0 | 81.1 | 120.1 |
| George Bartlett | 40.2 | 79 | 51 | 4.9 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | - | 0.0 | 46.7 | 74.8 |
| Justin Broad | 44.0 | 73 | 60 | 5.3 | 0.1 | 15.5 | 1.7 | 54 | 3.5 | 1.5 | - | 0.1 | 92.8 | 124.5 |
| Saif Zaib | 67.4 | 103 | 65 | 8.1 | 0.6 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 18 | 2.6 | 0.5 | - | - | 79.8 | 127.5 |
| Gus Miller | 23.5 | 34 | 68 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 8.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 33.5 | 52.5 |
| James Sales | 47.2 | 86 | 55 | 6.2 | 0.2 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 24 | 4.1 | 0.4 | - | 0.0 | 64.7 | 100.5 |
| Calvin Harrison | 41.4 | 74 | 56 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 29.0 | 2.0 | 94 | 3.3 | 1.7 | - | 0.0 | 98.2 | 131.7 |
| Harry Conway | 8.4 | 38 | 22 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 33.8 | 5.0 | 92 | 2.7 | 0.3 | - | - | 110.7 | 134.0 |
| Ben Sanderson | 15.6 | 26 | 61 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 32.8 | 4.5 | 80 | 2.4 | 0.1 | - | - | 107.3 | 135.8 |
| Liam Guthrie | 21.5 | 30 | 73 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 26.4 | 3.2 | 99 | 3.7 | 0.3 | - | - | 89.5 | 115.4 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (14 more) | ||||||||||||||
| David Willey | 33.8 | 45 | 75 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 18.5 | 2.6 | 73 | 4.0 | 0.7 | - | 0.3 | 93.1 | 130.7 |
| Rob Keogh | 48.3 | 86 | 56 | 6.0 | 0.2 | 14.6 | 1.2 | 46 | 3.2 | 0.2 | - | - | 73.5 | 110.3 |
| Yuzvendra Chahal | 6.6 | 7 | 95 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 54.7 | 3.5 | 145 | 2.7 | 0.4 | - | 0.2 | 80.7 | 101.5 |
| Lewis McManus | 37.1 | 79 | 47 | 4.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 3.0 | - | 0.0 | 67.5 | 89.0 |
| Raphael Weatherall | 2.1 | 5 | 41 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 23.3 | 2.9 | 81 | 3.5 | 0.2 | - | - | 61.5 | 73.6 |
| Aadi Sharma | 26.3 | 34 | 77 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 8.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 36.3 | 61.7 |
| Dominic Leech | 11.9 | 45 | 27 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 25.3 | 1.4 | 101 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 39.3 | 54.2 |
| Louis Kimber | 22.4 | 24 | 93 | 3.5 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 0.9 | - | - | 31.1 | 50.5 |
| George Scrimshaw | 7.6 | 21 | 35 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 14.7 | 1.3 | 78 | 5.3 | 0.0 | - | - | 34.3 | 47.0 |
| Arush Buchake | 26.3 | 21 | 135 | 2.4 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | - | 26.3 | 46.3 |
| Nirvan Ramesh | 2.8 | 5 | 58 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 12.6 | 1.3 | 60 | 4.8 | 0.0 | - | - | 29.5 | 38.1 |
| Chris Lynn | 16.9 | 13 | 135 | 1.4 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 19.9 | 34.4 |
| Stuart Van Der Merwe | 9.4 | 8 | 130 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 8.0 | 0.0 | - | - | 19.4 | 30.1 |
| Tiaan Cornelius Louw | 4.7 | 5 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 1.0 | - | - | 14.7 | 19.0 |
Ryan Higgins MID
47.0 runs
166.7 D11
127.8 PP
Leus du Plooy MID
88.4 runs
145.6 D11
94.5 PP
Ben Sanderson NOR
15.6 runs
135.8 D11
107.3 PP
Harry Conway NOR
5.0 wkts
134.0 D11
110.7 PP
Zafar Gohar MID
45.2 runs
133.7 D11
96.1 PP
Sebastian Morgan MID
29.0 runs
133.1 D11
101.0 PP
Calvin Harrison NOR
41.4 runs
131.7 D11
98.2 PP
David Willey NOR
33.8 runs
130.7 D11
93.1 PP
49 players · full breakdown with Pro
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Track record
56.5% model win rate across 439 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine
· v3 · 4 days ago
What Pro unlocks here
✓Exact win % both scenarios
✓Projected totals, sixes & fours
✓49-player stat projections
✓Model-vs-market edges
✓Dream11 optimal teams
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These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.
STATZ
MID
vs
NOR
OPTIMAL
County Championship Division Two • Thu, 24 Sep • 10:00
Projected Points
1613PTS
Rating
100/100
Wicket-Keepers
J. Cracknell
116.9 pts
Batters
C
L. Plooy
148.9 pts
S. Robson
111 pts
J. Sales
98.1 pts
All-Rounders
S. Morgan
134.3 pts
T. Roland-Jones
129.7 pts
C. Harrison
129.6 pts
S. Zaib
124.1 pts
Bowlers
VC
Z. Gohar
135.5 pts
B. Sanderson
135 pts
H. Conway
133.6 pts
Built with Statz
STATZ
MID
vs
NOR
AGGRESSIVE
County Championship Division Two • Thu, 24 Sep • 10:00
Projected Points
1550PTS
Rating
100/100
Wicket-Keepers
R. Vasconcelos
95.4 pts
Batters
L. Plooy
148.9 pts
S. Robson
111 pts
J. Sales
98.1 pts
All-Rounders
C. Harrison
129.6 pts
S. Zaib
124.1 pts
L. Procter
117.5 pts
S. Morgan
134.3 pts
Bowlers
VC
B. Sanderson
135 pts
C
Z. Gohar
135.5 pts
T. Helm
117.5 pts
Built with Statz
Why this team
- Captain pick: Leus du Plooy (148.9 pts) - 10% projection edge over the next-best pick.
- Slight MID edge (6-5) - marginally more of their players grade as fantasy-relevant; flip the balance if you back NOR's XI more.
Three teams per match
Optimal: highest projected points.
Small League: safe floor picks.
Grand League: higher-variance ceiling.
All re-run when XIs confirm.
Small League: safe floor picks.
Grand League: higher-variance ceiling.
All re-run when XIs confirm.
Venue not yet announced
Ground stats will appear once the venue is confirmed
Top performers in this fixture
from 5 H2H meetings
MID in form
NOR in form
Pro · Player projections
Leus du Plooy projected 90.5 runs at 63 SR.
Predicted XIs based on each side's last completed match. Confirmed lineups usually land ~30 min before the toss — this page updates automatically.
Get XI alerts
Middlesex
Last XI vs Kent · 19 Jun 2026
10
Tom Helm
Northamptonshire
Last XI vs Durham · 19 Jun 2026
11
Liam Guthrie
Full squads
Middlesex
Full squad · 24 players
played in the last recorded XI · refreshed daily
Full Middlesex squad →
Northamptonshire
Full squad · 27 players
played in the last recorded XI · refreshed daily
Full Northamptonshire squad →
XI consistency
MID
made 1 change for their last match.
NOR
made 2 changes for their last match.
Derived from recorded XIs; updates automatically.
When XIs confirm…
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Pro · Bench watch
Projected output for all 49 squad players if they make the XI, so you spot the upgrade early.
Who is playing in Middlesex vs Northamptonshire?
Confirmed XIs are announced around the toss, ~30 minutes before the start. Based on their last matches, Middlesex are likely to field Sam Robson, Ben Geddes, Max Holden, Leus du Plooy and 7 more, and Northamptonshire Ricardo Vasconcelos, Luke Procter, Gus Miller, Calvin Harrison and 8 more — full predicted XIs and squads are on this page.
Who leads the Middlesex vs Northamptonshire head-to-head record?
Northamptonshire lead 2–1 from 5 matches.
What is Middlesex's current form in 2026?
Middlesex have won 3 and lost 3 from 8 matches in 2026, averaging 315.9 runs per match.
What is Northamptonshire's current form in 2026?
Northamptonshire have won 3 and lost 2 from 8 matches in 2026, averaging 402.3 runs per match.
Where is Middlesex vs Northamptonshire being played?
Middlesex vs Northamptonshire is being played on 24 Sep 2026 at 15:30 IST.
Who are the top run-scorers in Middlesex vs Northamptonshire head-to-head matches?
The top run-scorers in Middlesex vs Northamptonshire H2H are Joe Cracknell (264 runs), Saif Zaib (247 runs), Leus du Plooy (222 runs).
Who are the top wicket-takers in Middlesex vs Northamptonshire head-to-head matches?
The top wicket-takers in Middlesex vs Northamptonshire H2H are Ryan Higgins (13 wkts), Ben Sanderson (13 wkts), Toby Roland-Jones (10 wkts).
Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Middlesex and Northamptonshire?
The leading run-scorers in 2026 are Leus du Plooy (703 runs), Ricardo Vasconcelos (499 runs), Saif Zaib (454 runs).
Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Middlesex and Northamptonshire?
The leading wicket-takers in 2026 are Ben Sanderson (27 wkts), Toby Roland-Jones (22 wkts), Harry Conway (21 wkts).
Where are Middlesex and Northamptonshire in the standings?
Middlesex are 4th with 64 points and Northamptonshire are 3rd with 72 points.