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Derbyshire vs Middlesex

Derbyshire vs Middlesex - Projections & Predictions · County Championship Division Two

Derbyshire

L W L W W

Division 2

County Championship Division Two · Division 2 · County Ground

10:00 AM UTC

Thu, Aug 27 · County Ground, Derby · County Ground

Middlesex

L W L W D

DER lead H2H 1–0 1060 avg total here 48.8% boundary rate 22°C, light rain Aitchison 9 straight wickets (1+)

DERDerbyshire 10:00 AM MIDMiddlesex

County Championship Division Two · Division 2 · County Ground

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Projected win probability

toss pending · blend of both scenarios

DER

MID

Middle segment = projected draw

Projected totalTotal

ground avg 1,060.1

1st innings1st inn

ground avg 444.0

Match sixesSixes

ground avg 7.3

Match foursFours

ground avg 118.4

MODEL CONFIDENCE

High

DER projected boundaries

2.4 6s

41.5 4s

Ground 6s factor 0.83x

MID projected boundaries

1.6 6s

32.7 4s

Ground 4s factor 0.94x

Player projections

expected XI · per-player output

Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs

Derbyshire	Runs	Balls	SR	4s	6s	Ov	Wkts	Conc	Econ	Ct	St	RO	Perf	D11
Luis Reece	44.3	85	52	4.8	0.5	15.4	2.9	52	3.4	0.2	-	-	104.3	142.2
Harry Came	44.7	98	46	5.5	0.1	-	-	-	-	0.3	-	0.0	47.3	77.7
Caleb Jewell	48.3	81	60	6.2	0.2	-	-	-	-	1.1	-	-	58.9	90.9
Wayne Madsen	58.8	88	67	7.5	0.3	-	-	-	-	1.3	-	-	72.2	111.5
Matthew Montgomery	34.8	76	46	5.0	0.0	2.4	0.2	9	3.7	0.8	-	0.0	46.0	71.5
Anuj Dal	22.6	39	58	2.9	0.0	17.7	2.1	49	2.8	0.1	-	-	65.8	87.7
Martin Andersson	45.9	66	70	5.4	0.5	13.9	1.2	42	3.0	0.8	-	-	78.0	112.3
Brooke Guest	35.0	71	49	3.9	0.2	-	-	-	-	3.4	-	0.1	69.4	85.8
Ben Aitchison	28.5	42	68	3.9	0.4	33.4	4.7	85	2.6	0.9	-	0.1	131.0	168.4
Mohammad Abbas	3.1	11	29	0.5	0.0	31.2	3.7	69	2.2	0.2	-	0.0	77.8	94.3
Rory Haydon	2.1	6	37	0.1	0.0	30.7	4.6	95	3.1	0.3	-	-	96.7	115.3
▾ Full squad projections (13 more)
Zak Chappell	22.3	44	51	3.0	0.3	26.7	2.7	83	3.1	0.5	-	0.1	79.8	104.7
Aneurin Donald	38.6	48	80	5.2	0.5	-	-	-	-	1.5	-	-	53.6	81.5
Jack Morley	8.4	33	26	0.9	0.1	48.6	2.1	147	3.0	0.7	-	0.1	57.9	71.3
Nick Potts	16.2	29	57	2.2	0.2	8.1	1.1	45	5.5	0.6	-	-	44.9	60.9
Shoaib Bashir	7.4	20	37	0.6	0.1	30.0	1.4	92	3.1	0.5	-	0.1	40.0	50.3
Pat Brown	4.3	4	110	0.3	0.2	9.6	1.0	56	5.8	1.0	-	-	34.6	41.5
Mitchell Wagstaff	15.4	12	135	1.3	0.6	3.5	0.5	22	6.3	0.0	-	-	25.4	39.7
Harry Moore	8.6	7	130	0.7	0.4	3.5	0.5	22	6.3	0.3	-	0.2	21.6	32.7
Ross Whiteley	15.4	12	135	1.3	0.6	-	-	-	-	0.3	-	0.2	18.4	32.2
AM Ghazanfar	4.3	4	110	0.3	0.2	3.5	0.5	22	6.3	0.3	-	0.2	17.3	25.6
Sufiyan Muqeem	4.3	4	110	0.3	0.2	3.5	0.5	22	6.3	0.3	-	0.2	17.3	25.6
Joe Hawkins	4.3	4	110	0.3	0.2	3.5	0.5	22	6.3	0.0	-	-	14.3	21.8
Amrit Basra	4.3	4	110	0.3	0.2	-	-	-	-	0.0	-	-	4.3	10.4

Middlesex	Runs	Balls	SR	4s	6s	Ov	Wkts	Conc	Econ	Ct	St	RO	Perf	D11
Sam Robson	43.6	85	51	5.6	0.0	2.5	0.3	12	5.0	0.9	-	-	57.4	86.5
Max Holden	52.7	104	51	6.5	0.2	-	-	-	-	0.4	-	-	56.2	92.0
Leus du Plooy	57.4	91	63	5.7	0.3	-	-	-	-	0.6	-	-	63.5	96.6
Ben Geddes	36.5	70	52	4.1	0.4	-	-	-	-	0.7	-	-	43.9	67.9
Joe Cracknell	40.4	70	58	4.8	0.3	-	-	-	-	3.1	-	0.1	71.3	93.9
Caleb Falconer	22.7	47	48	2.8	0.1	-	-	-	-	0.5	-	-	27.8	43.2
Zafar Gohar	34.6	65	53	3.7	0.4	30.6	2.5	91	3.0	0.2	-	0.1	86.7	117.5
Toby Roland-Jones	17.1	23	74	2.1	0.4	30.0	3.8	82	2.8	0.3	-	0.1	95.9	122.3
Sebastian Morgan	22.2	38	59	3.1	0.1	25.2	3.6	92	3.7	0.2	-	-	96.1	123.8
Tom Helm	11.5	24	49	1.2	0.2	29.6	3.7	92	3.1	0.9	-	0.1	94.0	113.8
Naavya Sharma	4.6	15	30	0.5	0.3	24.5	3.9	81	3.3	0.3	-	0.1	85.3	105.1
▾ Full squad projections (12 more)
Ryan Higgins	35.9	65	55	3.9	0.1	28.5	3.7	75	2.6	0.8	-	-	118.6	151.1
Josh de Caires	24.7	51	48	3.2	0.2	18.4	2.7	54	2.9	0.3	-	-	80.9	106.6
Noah Cornwell	2.4	4	58	0.2	0.1	18.1	3.6	84	4.6	0.8	-	-	82.7	97.1
Eathan Bosch	13.5	31	43	1.3	0.0	23.5	2.8	88	3.8	0.4	-	-	72.9	89.3
Blake Cullen	20.6	37	55	3.1	0.1	14.8	1.6	78	5.3	0.7	-	0.3	60.0	83.7
Jack Davies	34.1	75	45	4.8	0.5	-	-	-	-	2.0	-	0.1	54.2	79.3
Luke Hollman	35.0	68	51	4.8	0.2	9.6	0.5	42	4.4	0.2	-	-	46.2	73.6
Harry Duke	21.4	64	33	2.3	0.1	-	-	-	-	2.8	-	-	49.4	57.9
Nathan Fernandes	15.5	33	47	1.8	0.1	3.5	0.5	19	5.5	0.2	-	-	28.6	41.5
James Feldman	7.9	6	130	0.7	0.3	3.5	0.5	24	6.9	0.3	-	0.2	20.9	31.5
Aaryan Sawant	14.1	11	135	1.2	0.6	-	-	-	-	0.3	-	0.2	17.1	30.1
Ishaan Kaushal	3.9	4	110	0.3	0.2	3.5	0.5	24	6.9	0.3	-	0.2	16.9	25.1

Ben Aitchison DER 28.5 runs 168.4 D11 131.0 PP

Ryan Higgins MID 35.9 runs 151.1 D11 118.6 PP

Luis Reece DER 44.3 runs 142.2 D11 104.3 PP

Sebastian Morgan MID 22.2 runs 123.8 D11 96.1 PP

Toby Roland-Jones MID 17.1 runs 122.3 D11 95.9 PP

Zafar Gohar MID 34.6 runs 117.5 D11 86.7 PP

Rory Haydon DER 4.6 wkts 115.3 D11 96.7 PP

Tom Helm MID 3.7 wkts 113.8 D11 94.0 PP

Track record

56.5% model win rate across 439 settled matches · see history →

Projections generated by the Statz AI engine · v3 · 4 days ago

Track record

56.5%model win rate · 439 matches

See every past projection →

Next: Dream11

These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.

Who is playing in Derbyshire vs Middlesex?

Confirmed XIs are announced around the toss, ~30 minutes before the start. Based on their last matches, Derbyshire are likely to field Harry Came, Caleb Jewell, Matthew Montgomery, Wayne Madsen and 7 more, and Middlesex Sam Robson, Ben Geddes, Max Holden, Leus du Plooy and 7 more — full predicted XIs and squads are on this page.

Who leads the Derbyshire vs Middlesex head-to-head record?

Derbyshire lead 1–0 from 3 matches.

What is Derbyshire's current form in 2026?

Derbyshire have won 3 and lost 5 from 9 matches in 2026, averaging 355.8 runs per match.

What is Middlesex's current form in 2026?

Middlesex have won 3 and lost 3 from 8 matches in 2026, averaging 315.9 runs per match.

Where is Derbyshire vs Middlesex being played?

Derbyshire vs Middlesex is being played at County Ground on 27 Aug 2026 at 15:30 IST.

Who are the top run-scorers in Derbyshire vs Middlesex head-to-head matches?

The top run-scorers in Derbyshire vs Middlesex H2H are Wayne Madsen (193 runs), Leus du Plooy (162 runs), Harry Came (152 runs).

Who are the top wicket-takers in Derbyshire vs Middlesex head-to-head matches?

The top wicket-takers in Derbyshire vs Middlesex H2H are Toby Roland-Jones (10 wkts), Ben Aitchison (8 wkts), Zak Chappell (7 wkts).

Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Derbyshire and Middlesex?

The leading run-scorers in 2026 are Leus du Plooy (703 runs), Martin Andersson (576 runs), Wayne Madsen (559 runs).

Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Derbyshire and Middlesex?

The leading wicket-takers in 2026 are Ben Aitchison (31 wkts), Toby Roland-Jones (22 wkts), Sebastian Morgan (17 wkts).

Where are Derbyshire and Middlesex in the standings?

Derbyshire are 6th with 56 points and Middlesex are 4th with 64 points.

What is the pitch like at County Ground?

At County Ground, 61.2% of wickets fall to seam and 35.1% to spin. The average match total is 981.7 runs with a first-innings average of 425.5. There are an average of 6.2 sixes per match and teams batting first have won 83.3% of matches.

What is Derbyshire's record at County Ground?

Derbyshire have won 3 and lost 3 from 11 matches at County Ground.

What is Middlesex's record at County Ground?

Middlesex have won 0 and lost 0 from 1 matches at County Ground.

What is the weather forecast at County Ground for Derbyshire vs Middlesex?

The forecast at County Ground for Derbyshire vs Middlesex is Light Rain, 22°C, humidity 75%, wind 3.3 km/h.

Derbyshire vs Middlesex - Projections & Predictions · County Championship Division Two

The Statz verdict

Head-to-head record

Season comparison

Projected win probability

Player projections

County Ground, Derby

Last 5 matches here

Hit rates: who delivers?

Top performers in this fixture

Full squads

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is playing in Derbyshire vs Middlesex?

Who leads the Derbyshire vs Middlesex head-to-head record?

What is Derbyshire's current form in 2026?

What is Middlesex's current form in 2026?

Where is Derbyshire vs Middlesex being played?

Who are the top run-scorers in Derbyshire vs Middlesex head-to-head matches?

Who are the top wicket-takers in Derbyshire vs Middlesex head-to-head matches?

Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Derbyshire and Middlesex?

Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Derbyshire and Middlesex?

Where are Derbyshire and Middlesex in the standings?

What is the pitch like at County Ground?

What is Derbyshire's record at County Ground?

What is Middlesex's record at County Ground?

What is the weather forecast at County Ground for Derbyshire vs Middlesex?

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Derbyshire vs Middlesex - Projections & Predictions · County Championship Division Two

The Statz verdict

Head-to-head record

Season comparison

Projected win probability

Player projections

County Ground, Derby

Last 5 matches here

Hit rates: who delivers?

Top performers in this fixture

Full squads

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is playing in Derbyshire vs Middlesex?

Who leads the Derbyshire vs Middlesex head-to-head record?

What is Derbyshire's current form in 2026?

What is Middlesex's current form in 2026?

Where is Derbyshire vs Middlesex being played?

Who are the top run-scorers in Derbyshire vs Middlesex head-to-head matches?

Who are the top wicket-takers in Derbyshire vs Middlesex head-to-head matches?

Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Derbyshire and Middlesex?

Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Derbyshire and Middlesex?

Where are Derbyshire and Middlesex in the standings?

What is the pitch like at County Ground?

What is Derbyshire's record at County Ground?

What is Middlesex's record at County Ground?

What is the weather forecast at County Ground for Derbyshire vs Middlesex?

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