Derbyshire vs Middlesex - Preview, Predictions & H2H · County Championship Division Two
Derbyshire
L
W
L
W
W
Division 2
County Championship Division Two · Division 2 · County Ground
10:00 AM UTC
Thu, Aug 27 · County Ground, Derby · County Ground
Middlesex
L
W
L
W
D
DER lead H2H 1–0
1060 avg total here
48.8% boundary rate
22°C, light rain
Aitchison 9 straight wickets (1+)
DERDerbyshire
10:00 AM
MIDMiddlesex
County Championship Division Two · Division 2 · County Ground
The Statz verdict
Derbyshire lead this head-to-head 1–0. The season batting edge is DER's, 355.8 runs per game vs 315.9. They meet on a 48.8% boundary-rate ground averaging 1060 total runs.
Auto-generated from Statz data · refreshes through match day
Head-to-head record
3 meetings · 2025–2026
1
0
2 draws
Pro · Win probability
38%
24%
DER
MID
Projected total, innings scores and match sixes for this fixture.
Season comparison
33.3%
37.5%
Win rate
355.8
315.9
Avg runs
304.3
330.1
Avg conceded
9.8
9.8
Avg wickets
2.2
1.3
Avg sixes
42.8
35.4
Avg boundaries
Dream11 · Optimal XI
+8
1592 projected points · captaincy pick + reasoning, re-run when XIs confirm.
Build & Rate →
Pro · Win probability
38%
24%
DER
MID
Projected total, innings scores and match sixes for this fixture.
Pro · Projections
Win probability, totals and 34-player projections are unlocked for you.
Dream11 · Optimal XI
+8
1592 projected points · captaincy pick + reasoning, re-run when XIs confirm.
Build & Rate →
Projection values are hidden. Pro members see exact win %, totals and every player projection.
See Pro plans
Projected win probability
toss pending · blend of both scenarios
DER
MID
Middle segment = projected draw
Projected totalTotal
ground avg 1,060.1
1st innings1st inn
ground avg 444.0
Match sixesSixes
ground avg 7.3
Match foursFours
ground avg 118.4
MODEL CONFIDENCE
High
DER projected boundaries
2.4 6s
41.5 4s
Ground 6s factor 0.83x
MID projected boundaries
1.6 6s
32.7 4s
Ground 4s factor 0.94x
Player projections
expected XI · per-player output
Advanced adds balls, bowling workload, conceded, economy, catches, stumpings, run-outs
| Derbyshire | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | Ov | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Reece | 44.3 | 85 | 52 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 15.4 | 2.9 | 52 | 3.4 | 0.2 | - | - | 104.3 | 142.2 |
| Harry Came | 44.7 | 98 | 46 | 5.5 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.0 | 47.3 | 77.7 |
| Caleb Jewell | 48.3 | 81 | 60 | 6.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 1.1 | - | - | 58.9 | 90.9 |
| Wayne Madsen | 58.8 | 88 | 67 | 7.5 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 1.3 | - | - | 72.2 | 111.5 |
| Matthew Montgomery | 34.8 | 76 | 46 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 9 | 3.7 | 0.8 | - | 0.0 | 46.0 | 71.5 |
| Anuj Dal | 22.6 | 39 | 58 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 17.7 | 2.1 | 49 | 2.8 | 0.1 | - | - | 65.8 | 87.7 |
| Martin Andersson | 45.9 | 66 | 70 | 5.4 | 0.5 | 13.9 | 1.2 | 42 | 3.0 | 0.8 | - | - | 78.0 | 112.3 |
| Brooke Guest | 35.0 | 71 | 49 | 3.9 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 3.4 | - | 0.1 | 69.4 | 85.8 |
| Ben Aitchison | 28.5 | 42 | 68 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 33.4 | 4.7 | 85 | 2.6 | 0.9 | - | 0.1 | 131.0 | 168.4 |
| Mohammad Abbas | 3.1 | 11 | 29 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 31.2 | 3.7 | 69 | 2.2 | 0.2 | - | 0.0 | 77.8 | 94.3 |
| Rory Haydon | 2.1 | 6 | 37 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 30.7 | 4.6 | 95 | 3.1 | 0.3 | - | - | 96.7 | 115.3 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (13 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Zak Chappell | 22.3 | 44 | 51 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 26.7 | 2.7 | 83 | 3.1 | 0.5 | - | 0.1 | 79.8 | 104.7 |
| Aneurin Donald | 38.6 | 48 | 80 | 5.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 1.5 | - | - | 53.6 | 81.5 |
| Jack Morley | 8.4 | 33 | 26 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 48.6 | 2.1 | 147 | 3.0 | 0.7 | - | 0.1 | 57.9 | 71.3 |
| Nick Potts | 16.2 | 29 | 57 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 45 | 5.5 | 0.6 | - | - | 44.9 | 60.9 |
| Shoaib Bashir | 7.4 | 20 | 37 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 30.0 | 1.4 | 92 | 3.1 | 0.5 | - | 0.1 | 40.0 | 50.3 |
| Pat Brown | 4.3 | 4 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 9.6 | 1.0 | 56 | 5.8 | 1.0 | - | - | 34.6 | 41.5 |
| Mitchell Wagstaff | 15.4 | 12 | 135 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 22 | 6.3 | 0.0 | - | - | 25.4 | 39.7 |
| Harry Moore | 8.6 | 7 | 130 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 22 | 6.3 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 21.6 | 32.7 |
| Ross Whiteley | 15.4 | 12 | 135 | 1.3 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 18.4 | 32.2 |
| AM Ghazanfar | 4.3 | 4 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 22 | 6.3 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.3 | 25.6 |
| Sufiyan Muqeem | 4.3 | 4 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 22 | 6.3 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.3 | 25.6 |
| Joe Hawkins | 4.3 | 4 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 22 | 6.3 | 0.0 | - | - | 14.3 | 21.8 |
| Amrit Basra | 4.3 | 4 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | - | 4.3 | 10.4 |
| Middlesex | Runs | Balls | SR | 4s | 6s | Ov | Wkts | Conc | Econ | Ct | St | RO | Perf | D11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Robson | 43.6 | 85 | 51 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 12 | 5.0 | 0.9 | - | - | 57.4 | 86.5 |
| Max Holden | 52.7 | 104 | 51 | 6.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.4 | - | - | 56.2 | 92.0 |
| Leus du Plooy | 57.4 | 91 | 63 | 5.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0.6 | - | - | 63.5 | 96.6 |
| Ben Geddes | 36.5 | 70 | 52 | 4.1 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 0.7 | - | - | 43.9 | 67.9 |
| Joe Cracknell | 40.4 | 70 | 58 | 4.8 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 3.1 | - | 0.1 | 71.3 | 93.9 |
| Caleb Falconer | 22.7 | 47 | 48 | 2.8 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 0.5 | - | - | 27.8 | 43.2 |
| Zafar Gohar | 34.6 | 65 | 53 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 30.6 | 2.5 | 91 | 3.0 | 0.2 | - | 0.1 | 86.7 | 117.5 |
| Toby Roland-Jones | 17.1 | 23 | 74 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 30.0 | 3.8 | 82 | 2.8 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 95.9 | 122.3 |
| Sebastian Morgan | 22.2 | 38 | 59 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 25.2 | 3.6 | 92 | 3.7 | 0.2 | - | - | 96.1 | 123.8 |
| Tom Helm | 11.5 | 24 | 49 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 29.6 | 3.7 | 92 | 3.1 | 0.9 | - | 0.1 | 94.0 | 113.8 |
| Naavya Sharma | 4.6 | 15 | 30 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 24.5 | 3.9 | 81 | 3.3 | 0.3 | - | 0.1 | 85.3 | 105.1 |
| ▾ Full squad projections (12 more) | ||||||||||||||
| Ryan Higgins | 35.9 | 65 | 55 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 28.5 | 3.7 | 75 | 2.6 | 0.8 | - | - | 118.6 | 151.1 |
| Josh de Caires | 24.7 | 51 | 48 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 18.4 | 2.7 | 54 | 2.9 | 0.3 | - | - | 80.9 | 106.6 |
| Noah Cornwell | 2.4 | 4 | 58 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 18.1 | 3.6 | 84 | 4.6 | 0.8 | - | - | 82.7 | 97.1 |
| Eathan Bosch | 13.5 | 31 | 43 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 23.5 | 2.8 | 88 | 3.8 | 0.4 | - | - | 72.9 | 89.3 |
| Blake Cullen | 20.6 | 37 | 55 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 14.8 | 1.6 | 78 | 5.3 | 0.7 | - | 0.3 | 60.0 | 83.7 |
| Jack Davies | 34.1 | 75 | 45 | 4.8 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | 0.1 | 54.2 | 79.3 |
| Luke Hollman | 35.0 | 68 | 51 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 9.6 | 0.5 | 42 | 4.4 | 0.2 | - | - | 46.2 | 73.6 |
| Harry Duke | 21.4 | 64 | 33 | 2.3 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 2.8 | - | - | 49.4 | 57.9 |
| Nathan Fernandes | 15.5 | 33 | 47 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 19 | 5.5 | 0.2 | - | - | 28.6 | 41.5 |
| James Feldman | 7.9 | 6 | 130 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 24 | 6.9 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 20.9 | 31.5 |
| Aaryan Sawant | 14.1 | 11 | 135 | 1.2 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 17.1 | 30.1 |
| Ishaan Kaushal | 3.9 | 4 | 110 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 24 | 6.9 | 0.3 | - | 0.2 | 16.9 | 25.1 |
Ben Aitchison DER
28.5 runs
168.4 D11
131.0 PP
Ryan Higgins MID
35.9 runs
151.1 D11
118.6 PP
Luis Reece DER
44.3 runs
142.2 D11
104.3 PP
Sebastian Morgan MID
22.2 runs
123.8 D11
96.1 PP
Toby Roland-Jones MID
17.1 runs
122.3 D11
95.9 PP
Zafar Gohar MID
34.6 runs
117.5 D11
86.7 PP
Rory Haydon DER
4.6 wkts
115.3 D11
96.7 PP
Tom Helm MID
3.7 wkts
113.8 D11
94.0 PP
47 players · full breakdown with Pro
See Pro plans
Track record
56.5% model win rate across 439 settled matches · see history →
Projections generated by the Statz AI engine
· v3 · 4 days ago
What Pro unlocks here
✓Exact win % both scenarios
✓Projected totals, sixes & fours
✓47-player stat projections
✓Model-vs-market edges
✓Dream11 optimal teams
Next: Dream11
These projections power the optimal fantasy XI for this match.
STATZ
DER
vs
MID
OPTIMAL
County Championship Division Two • Thu, 27 Aug • 10:00
Projected Points
1592PTS
Rating
100/100
Wicket-Keepers
B. Guest
98.8 pts
Batters
W. Madsen
134.3 pts
C. Jewell
109.5 pts
L. Plooy
75.8 pts
All-Rounders
VC
L. Reece
158.9 pts
M. Andersson
130 pts
R. Haydon
115.9 pts
T. Roland-Jones
115.8 pts
Bowlers
C
B. Aitchison
179.9 pts
T. Helm
109.8 pts
Z. Gohar
104.4 pts
Built with Statz
STATZ
DER
vs
MID
TOSS HEDGE
County Championship Division Two • Thu, 27 Aug • 10:00
Projected Points
1548PTS
Rating
100/100
Wicket-Keepers
J. Cracknell
109.4 pts
Batters
L. Plooy
117.3 pts
S. Robson
103.1 pts
W. Madsen
88.7 pts
All-Rounders
VC
S. Morgan
132.2 pts
T. Roland-Jones
128.7 pts
L. Reece
125.4 pts
R. Haydon
114.7 pts
Bowlers
C
B. Aitchison
156.9 pts
Z. Gohar
130.5 pts
T. Helm
117.8 pts
Built with Statz
Why this team
- High-scoring ground (444+ par) - top-order stacks have a tailwind; pace and spin grade similarly here.
- Batting first wins 83% here (over last 6 games) - toss winner likely to bat, lock in their top order.
- Captain pick: Ben Aitchison (179.9 pts) - 13% projection edge over the next-best pick.
- Stacks DER heavily (7 of 11) - more of their players grade as fantasy-relevant tonight; even out if you fancy MID's XI to outperform projections.
Three teams per match
Optimal: highest projected points.
Small League: safe floor picks.
Grand League: higher-variance ceiling.
All re-run when XIs confirm.
Small League: safe floor picks.
Grand League: higher-variance ceiling.
All re-run when XIs confirm.
County Ground, Derby
Full ground stats →A batting ground that punishes seam. The last 9 FirstClass matches here average 1060 total runs with a 48.8% boundary rate and 7.3 sixes a match. Seamers concede 3.27 an over against spin's 2.23, and batting first pays: 83% of winners set the target.
Batting paradise
1060
avg total
444
1st inn avg
7.3
sixes
83%
bat 1st wins
48.8%
boundary
Seam econ3.27
Spin econ2.23
Based on the last 9 FirstClass matches at this venue (since Apr 2025). 2 rain-affected matches excluded.
Last 5 matches here
Match
1st inn
2nd inn
Total
DER vs DUR
20 Aug 2026
283/10 (94)
156/10 (52.4)
818
DER vs NOR
08 May 2026
604/7 (148.5)
228/10 (95.5)
1095
DER vs GLO
24 Apr 2026
498/10 (148.4)
281/10 (101.1)
1070
DER vs WOR
03 Apr 2026
625/8 (140.4)
312/10 (94.1)
1251
259/10 (88.3)
17/0 (5)
276
DER at this ground
3
WON
3
LOST
1
NR
Avg score 37.4 · high 232
Top scorer Caleb Jewell 569
Top bowler Luis Reece 21 wkts
Top scorer Caleb Jewell 569
Top bowler Luis Reece 21 wkts
MID at this ground
0
WON
0
LOST
Avg score 27.5 · high 59
Top scorer Ben Geddes 59
Top bowler Nathan Fernandes 3 wkts
Top scorer Ben Geddes 59
Top bowler Nathan Fernandes 3 wkts
Conditions
22°C · Light Rain
Wind 3.3 km/h · 75% humidity
Ground angle · Bet Builder
Over 1060.5 match runs has landed in 4 of the last 5 here.
Build this bet →
Pro · Ground factors
Six factor 0.83x · Four factor 0.94x, applied to every player projection.
Top performers in this fixture
from 3 H2H meetings
DER in form
MID in form
Pro · Player projections
Wayne Madsen projected 72.2 runs at 67 SR.
Predicted XIs based on each side's last completed match. Confirmed lineups usually land ~30 min before the toss — this page updates automatically.
Get XI alerts
Derbyshire
Last XI vs Durham · 20 Aug 2026
7
Anuj Dal
10
Nick Potts
Middlesex
Last XI vs Kent · 19 Jun 2026
10
Tom Helm
Full squads
Derbyshire
Full squad · 25 players
played in the last recorded XI · refreshed daily
Full Derbyshire squad →
Middlesex
Full squad · 24 players
played in the last recorded XI · refreshed daily
Full Middlesex squad →
XI consistency
DER
made 3 changes for their last match.
MID
made 1 change for their last match.
Derived from recorded XIs; updates automatically.
When XIs confirm…
the Dream11 optimal team re-runs instantly. Get the revised pair on Telegram.
Join free Telegram
Pro · Bench watch
Projected output for all 47 squad players if they make the XI, so you spot the upgrade early.
Who is playing in Derbyshire vs Middlesex?
Confirmed XIs are announced around the toss, ~30 minutes before the start. Based on their last matches, Derbyshire are likely to field Harry Came, Caleb Jewell, Matthew Montgomery, Wayne Madsen and 7 more, and Middlesex Sam Robson, Ben Geddes, Max Holden, Leus du Plooy and 7 more — full predicted XIs and squads are on this page.
Who leads the Derbyshire vs Middlesex head-to-head record?
Derbyshire lead 1–0 from 3 matches.
What is Derbyshire's current form in 2026?
Derbyshire have won 3 and lost 5 from 9 matches in 2026, averaging 355.8 runs per match.
What is Middlesex's current form in 2026?
Middlesex have won 3 and lost 3 from 8 matches in 2026, averaging 315.9 runs per match.
Where is Derbyshire vs Middlesex being played?
Derbyshire vs Middlesex is being played at County Ground on 27 Aug 2026 at 15:30 IST.
Who are the top run-scorers in Derbyshire vs Middlesex head-to-head matches?
The top run-scorers in Derbyshire vs Middlesex H2H are Wayne Madsen (193 runs), Leus du Plooy (162 runs), Harry Came (152 runs).
Who are the top wicket-takers in Derbyshire vs Middlesex head-to-head matches?
The top wicket-takers in Derbyshire vs Middlesex H2H are Toby Roland-Jones (10 wkts), Ben Aitchison (8 wkts), Zak Chappell (7 wkts).
Who are the top 2026 run-scorers for Derbyshire and Middlesex?
The leading run-scorers in 2026 are Leus du Plooy (703 runs), Martin Andersson (576 runs), Wayne Madsen (559 runs).
Who are the top 2026 wicket-takers for Derbyshire and Middlesex?
The leading wicket-takers in 2026 are Ben Aitchison (31 wkts), Toby Roland-Jones (22 wkts), Sebastian Morgan (17 wkts).
Where are Derbyshire and Middlesex in the standings?
Derbyshire are 6th with 56 points and Middlesex are 4th with 64 points.
What is the pitch like at County Ground?
At County Ground, 61.2% of wickets fall to seam and 35.1% to spin. The average match total is 981.7 runs with a first-innings average of 425.5. There are an average of 6.2 sixes per match and teams batting first have won 83.3% of matches.
What is Derbyshire's record at County Ground?
Derbyshire have won 3 and lost 3 from 11 matches at County Ground.
What is Middlesex's record at County Ground?
Middlesex have won 0 and lost 0 from 1 matches at County Ground.
What is the weather forecast at County Ground for Derbyshire vs Middlesex?
The forecast at County Ground for Derbyshire vs Middlesex is Light Rain, 22°C, humidity 75%, wind 3.3 km/h.