Cavaliers vs Raptors Predictions – NBA Playoff Preview | April 26, 2026

The Cleveland Cavaliers travel to Toronto looking to close out the NBA Playoff schedule series in Game 4, leading 2-1 over the Toronto Raptors. Tip-off is set for April 26, 2026, as the Cleveland Cavaliers look to put the Raptors on the brink of elimination on their home floor.

Odds and Lines

Cleveland are priced as favorites at -153 (implied 1.65) on Polymarket, with Toronto available at +153 (2.53). The spread sits at Raptors +3.5, and the total is set at 220.5 points. Statz win probability gives CLE 55.3% and TOR 44.7% – consistent with the market line.

Game Analysis

Both teams run at a fast pace, with Cleveland holding the edge at 112.2 possessions per game versus Toronto’s 107.8. That tempo advantage has been a factor throughout the series. Toronto shoots better from the floor – 51.4% FG versus Cleveland’s 46.3% – but Cleveland has the more balanced all-around shooting profile. The total of 220.5 reflects the fast pace expected from both sides.

Injury Report

The key injury for Toronto is Immanuel Quickley, who is OUT with a right hamstring strain. Jamal Shead steps into the starting point guard role. Cleveland reports no injuries heading into Game 4.

Key Players to Watch

RJ Barrett has been Toronto’s standout performer over the last five games, averaging 26.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He projects for 20.3 points in Game 4. Scottie Barnes contributes 22.6 points, 5.2 rebounds and 8.0 assists per game (projected 18.5 pts), while Brandon Ingram projects for 17.0 points. Young guard Ja’Kobe Walter has been a consistent prop performer – he has hit PRA 11.5+ in seven straight games and his PA 8.5+ in five straight.

For Cleveland, Donovan Mitchell projects for 18.1 points, James Harden for 17.3 points, and Darius Garland for 16.7 points. Jarrett Allen has been a monster in this series – PRA 21.5+ in five straight, PR 20.5+ in five straight, and Pts 12.5+ in five straight. His Pts+Reb 20+ has landed 67.9% of the time (38/56) this season. Evan Mobley adds frontcourt depth alongside Allen.

Prop Streaks and Trends

James Harden has made 2+ threes in five straight games, averaging 3.2 per game in that run, hitting the mark 88.5% of the time on the season (23/26). Ja’Kobe Walter also has a five-game streak of 2+ threes made, though his season hit rate is 40.3% (29/72) – worth noting the variance. Harden’s Reb+Ast has gone UNDER 11.5 in five straight.

Use the Statz Bet Builder Tool to cross-reference these streaks and build your own combinations before tip-off.

Prediction

Cleveland hold the series lead, the pace advantage, and a cleaner injury report. With Statz projecting CLE at 55.3% to win, the Cavaliers are positioned to take a commanding 3-1 lead. The total of 220.5 looks reasonable given both teams’ fast tempo. Expect Jarrett Allen and Donovan Mitchell to be central to whatever Cleveland generate on the night.