Ecuador xG 2026

Ecuador expected goals 2026: last 6

Games: 6
Expected goals (xG): 7.25
Goals scored: 6
Goals minus xG: -1.25
Expected goals against (xGA): 5.79
Goals conceded: 4
xGA minus goals conceded: +1.79
Expected points (xPts): 8.72
Points: 8
Points minus xPts: -0.72
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Ecuador overperforming their expected goals?

Ecuador's results and their chances agree, within 0.7 points of xPts over 6 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Ecuador results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 6	6	7.25	6	-1.25	5.79	4	+1.79	8.72	8	-0.72
Last 5	5	6.71	5	-1.71	3.97	3	+0.97	8.20	7	-1.20
Home	1	2.66	2	-0.66	0.57	0	+0.57	2.57	3	+0.43
Away	5	4.59	4	-0.59	5.22	4	+1.22	6.15	5	-1.15

Ecuador expected goals match by match, last 6

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
31 Mar	Friendly International	Netherlands (A)	1-1	2.06	0.33	2.52	1	W
27 Mar	Friendly International	Morocco (A)	1-1	0.58	1.21	0.84	1	L
19 Nov	Friendly International	New Zealand (H)	2-0	2.66	0.57	2.57	3	W
14 Nov	Friendly International	Canada (A)	0-0	0.41	0.48	1.18	1	D
15 Oct	Friendly International	Mexico (A)	1-1	1.00	1.38	1.09	1	L
11 Oct	Friendly International	USA (A)	1-1	0.54	1.82	0.52	1	L

Ecuador players: goals against expected goals, last 6

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Enner Valencia	attacker	5	398	0.00	2	+2.00	0.00
Jordy Alcívar	midfielder	5	197	0.00	1	+1.00	0.00
John Yeboah	attacker	6	445	0.00	1	+1.00	0.00
Leonardo Campana	attacker	4	129	0.00	1	+1.00	0.00
Nilson Angulo	attacker	4	216	0.00	1	+1.00	0.00

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