Chaves xG 2023/2024

Chaves expected goals 2023/2024: 2023/2024

Games: 10
Expected goals (xG): 9.27
Goals scored: 8
Goals minus xG: -1.27
Expected goals against (xGA): 18.98
Goals conceded: 23
xGA minus goals conceded: -4.02
Expected points (xPts): 8.97
Points: 4
Points minus xPts: -4.97
Verdict: Due an upturn

Are Chaves overperforming their expected goals?

Chaves have taken 5.0 points fewer than their chances warranted over 10 games: -1.3 goals against their xG, and -4.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Chaves results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
23/24	10	9.27	8	-1.27	18.98	23	-4.02	8.97	4	-4.97
Last 5	5	4.54	3	-1.54	8.47	12	-3.53	4.87	1	-3.87
Home	6	5.57	6	+0.43	9.32	16	-6.68	5.99	1	-4.99
Away	4	3.70	2	-1.70	9.66	7	+2.66	2.98	3	+0.02

Chaves expected goals match by match, 2023/2024

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 May	Liga Portugal	Sporting (A)	3-0	0.62	2.88	0.28	0	L
10 May	Liga Portugal	Famalicão (H)	0-1	0.55	1.32	0.75	0	L
4 May	Liga Portugal	Porto (H)	0-3	0.33	2.44	0.23	0	L
27 Apr	Liga Portugal	Casa Pia (A)	3-1	1.54	1.02	1.74	0	W
21 Apr	Liga Portugal	Estoril (H)	2-2	1.50	0.81	1.87	1	W
15 Apr	Liga Portugal	Vizela (A)	0-1	0.89	1.68	0.84	3	L
7 Apr	Liga Portugal	Portimonense (H)	2-3	1.27	1.37	1.30	0	L
29 Mar	Liga Portugal	Benfica (A)	1-0	0.65	4.08	0.12	0	L
17 Mar	Liga Portugal	Vitória SC (H)	1-2	0.76	2.09	0.57	0	L
1 Mar	Liga Portugal	Arouca (H)	1-5	1.16	1.29	1.27	0	L