Brazil xG 2026

Brazil expected goals 2026: last 6

Games

6

Expected goals (xG)

10.87

Goals scored

14

Goals minus xG

+3.13

Expected goals against (xGA)

5.17

Goals conceded

7

xGA minus goals conceded

-1.83

Expected points (xPts)

11.77

Points

10

Points minus xPts

-1.77

Verdict

A bit unlucky

Are Brazil overperforming their expected goals?

Brazil have taken 1.8 points fewer than their chances warranted over 6 games: +3.1 goals against their xG, and -1.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Brazil results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 6	6	10.87	14	+3.13	5.17	7	-1.83	11.77	10	-1.77
Last 5	5	8.40	9	+0.60	5.11	7	-1.89	8.97	7	-1.97
Home	4	7.27	7	-0.27	3.10	4	-0.90	8.13	7	-1.13
Away	2	3.60	7	+3.40	2.07	3	-0.93	3.64	3	-0.64

Brazil expected goals match by match, last 6

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
1 Apr	Friendly International	Croatia (H)	3-1	1.79	0.59	2.21	3	W
26 Mar	Friendly International	France (H)	1-2	1.57	0.98	1.79	0	W
18 Nov	Friendly International	Tunisia (H)	1-1	2.69	0.58	2.57	1	W
15 Nov	Friendly International	Senegal (H)	2-0	1.22	0.95	1.56	3	W
14 Oct	Friendly International	Japan (A)	3-2	1.13	2.01	0.84	0	L
10 Oct	Friendly International	South Korea (A)	0-5	2.47	0.06	2.80	3	W

Brazil players: goals against expected goals, last 6

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Estêvão	attacker	4	258	0.00	4	+4.00	0.00
Rodrygo	attacker	4	285	0.00	2	+2.00	0.00
Gabriel Martinelli	attacker	3	142	0.00	2	+2.00	0.00
Casemiro	midfielder	6	475	0.00	1	+1.00	0.00
Vinicius Junior	attacker	6	473	0.00	1	+1.00	0.00

Brazil stats & bet builder pages

• Brazil Team Stats
• Brazil Shots On Target
• Brazil Shots
• Brazil Fouls Committed
• Brazil Tackles
• Brazil Goals
• Brazil Assists
• Brazil Fouls Drawn
• Brazil Yellow Cards
• Brazil Corners
• Brazil Big Chances Missed
• Brazil Offsides
• Brazil Chances Created
• Brazil Through Balls
• Brazil Accurate Through Balls
• Brazil Passes
• Brazil Accurate Passes
• Brazil Total Crosses
• Brazil Accurate Crosses
• Brazil Long Balls
• Brazil Accurate Long Balls
• Brazil Dribble Attempts
• Brazil Successful Dribbles
• Brazil Touches
• Brazil Interceptions
• Brazil Aerials Won
• Brazil Duels Won
• Brazil Clearances
• Brazil Blocked Shots
• Brazil Ball Recoveries
• Brazil Tackles Won

Brazil recent matches

• Brazil 4-2 Australia: match stats
• Australia stats
• Friendly International stats & standings
• Brazil 1-1 Australia: match stats
• Brazil 1-2 Norway: match stats
• Norway stats
• World Cup stats & standings
• Brazil 2-1 Japan: match stats
• Japan stats
• Brazil 3-0 Scotland: match stats
• Scotland stats
• Brazil 3-0 Haiti: match stats
• Haiti stats

Brazil next match

• Japan vs Brazil - match preview, projections & bet builder