Toluca host Tijuana at Estadio Nemesio Diez on 22 October 2026 at 02:00 in Liga MX. Toluca's last five results: W W W L D (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Tijuana's last five: L W L D L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). In their last 4 meetings, Toluca have won 3, Tijuana 0, with 1 draw.
Toluca vs Tijuana kicks off at 02:00 UK time on Thursday 22 October 2026 in Liga MX, at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
Toluca vs Tijuana is being played at Estadio Nemesio Diez, the home ground of Toluca.
Toluca's last five results read W W W L D (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Tijuana's last five results read L W L D L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Across the last 4 meetings Toluca have won 3, Tijuana have won 0 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Toluca 1-0 Tijuana on 14 February 2026 in the Liga MX.
Alexis Vega leads Toluca with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Gilberto Mora leads Tijuana with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Predicted lineups for Toluca vs Tijuana appear on the Lineups tab of this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the game.
Statz's projection model makes Toluca the favourite with a 65% chance of winning, against 16% for Tijuana and 19% for the draw. Projected goals are Toluca 2.4 - 1.1 Tijuana.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1, a Toluca win, at 10%. Both teams to score is 61% likely and over 2.5 goals 67%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Liga MX | Toluca vs Tijuana | 1-0 |
| 23 Oct 2025 | Liga MX | Tijuana vs Toluca | 0-0 |
| 11 Jan 2025 | Liga MX | Tijuana vs Toluca | 2-4 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Liga MX | Toluca vs Tijuana | 4-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Toluca 2.4 - 1.1 Tijuana in goals. It gives Toluca a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tijuana 16%. Both teams to score is 61% likely, over 1.5 goals 87% and over 2.5 goals 67%. The most likely scorelines are 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Toluca win | 10% |
| 2-0 | Toluca win | 9% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 9% |
| 3-1 | Toluca win | 8% |
| 1-0 | Toluca win | 7% |
| # | Toluca | Fouls committed | Tijuana | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Villar | 13 | I. Tona | 13 |
| 2 | F. Pereira | 12 | R. Árciga | 11 |
| 3 | J. Gallardo | 12 | A. Gómez | 10 |
| 4 | D. Barbosa | 9 | A. Preciado | 10 |
| 5 | É. Galaviz | 8 | M. Ghezouani | 10 |
| # | Toluca | Shots | Tijuana | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helinho | 23 | M. Ghezouani | 17 |
| 2 | F. Viñas | 23 | G. Mora | 16 |
| 3 | A. Vega | 19 | D. Abreu | 11 |
| 4 | N. Castro | 16 | I. Rivero | 9 |
| 5 | Paulinho | 14 | Y. Padilla | 9 |
| # | Toluca | Shots on target | Tijuana | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helinho | 12 | G. Mora | 10 |
| 2 | A. Vega | 8 | M. Ghezouani | 7 |
| 3 | F. Viñas | 6 | I. Rivero | 5 |
| 4 | Paulinho | 6 | Y. Padilla | 4 |
| 5 | N. Castro | 5 | D. Abreu | 3 |
| # | Toluca | Goals | Tijuana | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Vega | 4 | G. Mora | 5 |
| 2 | F. Viñas | 4 | M. Ghezouani | 3 |
| 3 | Helinho | 3 | I. Rivero | 2 |
| 4 | Paulinho | 2 | E. Manoel | 2 |
| 5 | J. Angulo | 1 | A. Gómez | 1 |
| # | Toluca | Yellow cards | Tijuana | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helinho | 3 | I. Tona | 3 |
| 2 | N. Castro | 2 | R. Árciga | 2 |
| 3 | F. Romero | 2 | Y. Padilla | 2 |
| 4 | D. Barbosa | 1 | A. Preciado | 2 |
| 5 | B. Méndez | 1 | A. Gómez | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots | 17.8 | 4 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6.1 | 4 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 13 of 18 |
| Tackles | 18.2 | 3 of 18 |
| Passes | 513.7 | 2 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 8 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 5 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 9 of 18 |
| Shots | 12.4 | 17 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 17 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 16 of 18 |
| Tackles | 16.1 | 10 of 18 |
| Passes | 369.4 | 14 of 18 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 15 of 18 |