Toluca host Atlético San Luis at Estadio Nemesio Diez on 18 October 2026 at 02:00 in Liga MX. Toluca's last five results: W W W L D (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Atlético San Luis's last five: W L L W W (3 wins and 2 losses). In their last 4 meetings, Toluca have won 3, Atlético San Luis 0, with 1 draw.
Toluca vs Atlético San Luis kicks off at 02:00 UK time on Sunday 18 October 2026 in Liga MX, at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
Toluca vs Atlético San Luis is being played at Estadio Nemesio Diez, the home ground of Toluca.
Toluca's last five results read W W W L D (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Atlético San Luis's last five results read W L L W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Across the last 4 meetings Toluca have won 3, Atlético San Luis have won 0 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Toluca 1-1 Atlético San Luis on 13 April 2026 in the Liga MX.
Alexis Vega leads Toluca with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
David Rodríguez leads Atlético San Luis with 10 shots on target across their last 10 games.
Predicted lineups for Toluca vs Atlético San Luis appear on the Lineups tab of this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the game.
Statz's projection model makes Toluca the favourite with a 69% chance of winning, against 13% for Atlético San Luis and 18% for the draw. Projected goals are Toluca 2.5 - 1.0 Atlético San Luis.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0, a Toluca win, at 10%. Both teams to score is 57% likely and over 2.5 goals 66%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2026 | Liga MX | Toluca vs Atlético San Luis | 1-1 |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis vs Toluca | 1-3 |
| 17 Apr 2025 | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis vs Toluca | 0-1 |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Liga MX | Toluca vs Atlético San Luis | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Toluca 2.5 - 1.0 Atlético San Luis in goals. It gives Toluca a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atlético San Luis 13%. Both teams to score is 57% likely, over 1.5 goals 86% and over 2.5 goals 66%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 3-0 (8%), 3-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Toluca win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Toluca win | 10% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 8% |
| 3-0 | Toluca win | 8% |
| 3-1 | Toluca win | 8% |
| # | Toluca | Fouls committed | Atlético San Luis | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Villar | 13 | S. Salles-Lamonge | 13 |
| 2 | F. Pereira | 12 | A. Duarte | 10 |
| 3 | J. Gallardo | 12 | R. Bambu | 9 |
| 4 | D. Barbosa | 9 | Ó. Macías | 8 |
| 5 | É. Galaviz | 8 | R. Torres | 7 |
| # | Toluca | Shots | Atlético San Luis | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helinho | 23 | S. Salles-Lamonge | 21 |
| 2 | F. Viñas | 23 | D. Rodríguez | 20 |
| 3 | A. Vega | 19 | R. Llorente | 17 |
| 4 | N. Castro | 16 | F. Mora | 10 |
| 5 | Paulinho | 14 | L. Flores | 9 |
| # | Toluca | Shots on target | Atlético San Luis | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helinho | 12 | D. Rodríguez | 10 |
| 2 | A. Vega | 8 | S. Salles-Lamonge | 7 |
| 3 | F. Viñas | 6 | S. Romero | 4 |
| 4 | Paulinho | 6 | F. Mora | 4 |
| 5 | N. Castro | 5 | R. Llorente | 4 |
| # | Toluca | Goals | Atlético San Luis | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Vega | 4 | S. Salles-Lamonge | 3 |
| 2 | F. Viñas | 4 | D. Rodríguez | 3 |
| 3 | Helinho | 3 | S. Romero | 2 |
| 4 | Paulinho | 2 | E. Águila | 1 |
| 5 | J. Angulo | 1 | F. Mora | 1 |
| # | Toluca | Yellow cards | Atlético San Luis | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helinho | 3 | R. Bambu | 3 |
| 2 | N. Castro | 2 | R. Torres | 1 |
| 3 | F. Romero | 2 | Ó. Macías | 1 |
| 4 | D. Barbosa | 1 | A. Cruz | 1 |
| 5 | B. Méndez | 1 | R. Meraz | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots | 17.8 | 4 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6.1 | 4 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 13 of 18 |
| Tackles | 18.2 | 3 of 18 |
| Passes | 513.7 | 2 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 8 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 10 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 16 of 18 |
| Shots | 12.5 | 16 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.3 | 11 of 18 |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 18 of 18 |
| Tackles | 17.1 | 9 of 18 |
| Passes | 485.6 | 4 of 18 |
| Corners | 2.8 | 18 of 18 |