Bahia host Mirassol at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador on 11 October 2026 at 23:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Bahia's last five results: W W W W L (4 wins and 1 loss). Mirassol's last five: D L W D W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 3 meetings, Bahia have won 1, Mirassol 1, with 1 draw.
Bahia vs Mirassol kicks off at 23:30 UK time on Sunday 11 October 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador.
Bahia vs Mirassol is being played at Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador, the home ground of Bahia.
Bahia's last five results read W W W W L (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Mirassol's last five results read D L W D W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Across the last 3 meetings Bahia have won 1, Mirassol have won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Mirassol 1-2 Bahia on 11 April 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Rodrigo Nestor leads Bahia with 4 assists across their last 10 games.
Eduardo leads Mirassol with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Predicted lineups for Bahia vs Mirassol appear on the Lineups tab of this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the game.
Statz's projection model makes Bahia the favourite with a 60% chance of winning, against 17% for Mirassol and 23% for the draw. Projected goals are Bahia 2.0 - 1.0 Mirassol.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 58%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol vs Bahia | 1-2 |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol vs Bahia | 5-1 |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia vs Mirassol | 1-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Bahia 2.0 - 1.0 Mirassol in goals. It gives Bahia a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mirassol 17%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 82% and over 2.5 goals 58%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%), 3-1 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Bahia win | 10% |
| 2-0 | Bahia win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Bahia win | 9% |
| 3-1 | Bahia win | 7% |
| # | Bahia | Fouls committed | Mirassol | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Acevedo | 18 | Denilson | 18 |
| 2 | R. Nestor | 18 | I. Formiga | 12 |
| 3 | A. Veliz | 12 | B. Santos | 11 |
| 4 | R. Gómez | 10 | W. Machado | 10 |
| 5 | E. Pulga | 9 | Fernandinho | 9 |
| # | Bahia | Shots | Mirassol | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Nestor | 27 | Eduardo | 18 |
| 2 | A. Veliz | 27 | Reinaldo | 17 |
| 3 | E. Pulga | 21 | B. Santos | 17 |
| 4 | C. Olivera | 10 | I. Formiga | 13 |
| 5 | R. Gómez | 9 | Japa | 7 |
| # | Bahia | Shots on target | Mirassol | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Pulga | 9 | B. Santos | 7 |
| 2 | R. Nestor | 7 | Eduardo | 6 |
| 3 | A. Veliz | 7 | I. Formiga | 5 |
| 4 | L. Juba | 4 | G. Silva | 4 |
| 5 | C. Olivera | 4 | Reinaldo | 4 |
| # | Bahia | Goals | Mirassol | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Pulga | 3 | Eduardo | 4 |
| 2 | A. Veliz | 3 | B. Santos | 2 |
| 3 | J. Lucas | 2 | J. Victor | 2 |
| 4 | L. Juba | 2 | E. Carioca | 1 |
| 5 | Erick | 2 | G. Silva | 1 |
| # | Bahia | Yellow cards | Mirassol | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Pulga | 3 | Denilson | 4 |
| 2 | N. Acevedo | 2 | N. Moura | 3 |
| 3 | C. Olivera | 2 | Shaylon | 2 |
| 4 | Erick | 2 | J. Victor | 2 |
| 5 | D. Duarte | 2 | I. Formiga | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Bahia vs Mirassol: Edson Carioca 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.73); Erick Pulga 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.62); Gabriel Pires 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.44); Reinaldo 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.33). Combined odds 5.37 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 3 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 8 of 20 |
| Shots | 14.5 | 7 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 6 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 3 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 8 of 20 |
| Passes | 439.4 | 7 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 | 18 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 16 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.6 | 10 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 11 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.5 | 14 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.4 | 14 of 20 |
| Passes | 425 | 11 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 8 of 20 |