Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a player gets, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. A player's xG is those values added up, so the gap between the goals they scored and their xG shows whether they finished better or worse than their chances deserved. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.
Lionel Messi of Inter Miami has had the most xG in Major League Soccer in 2026, 16.15 from 24 appearances, and has scored 21 goals from it. Rafael Navarro is next on 15.70.
Guilherme of Houston Dynamo is overperforming xG by more than any other player in Major League Soccer in 2026, with 14 goals from chances worth 6.30 xG, a gap of 7.70. Nicolás Fernández Mercau is next on 6.28.
Gennadiy Synchuk of CF Montréal is underperforming xG by more than any other player in Major League Soccer in 2026, with 1 goal from chances worth 5.12 xG, a shortfall of 4.12. Philip Zinckernagel is next on 3.78.
Hugo Cuypers of Chicago Fire has the highest xG per 90 in Major League Soccer in 2026, 0.92 from 990 minutes across eleven appearances, the best of anyone past 810 minutes. Kelvin Yeboah and Sam Surridge are next on 0.72.
Hany Mukhtar of Nashville SC has had the most xG of any midfielder in Major League Soccer in 2026, 9.69 from 27 appearances, and has scored 13 goals from it. Evander is next on 9.60.
Peyton Miller of New England has had the most xG of any defender in Major League Soccer in 2026, 6.37 from 24 appearances, and has scored 7 goals from it. Anthony Markanich Jr. is next on 6.10.
Yes. Major League Soccer players have scored 1,270 goals in 2026 from chances worth 1,222.6 xG, 104% of what they deserved and 47.4 goals to the good. That is up from 97% in 2025.