Liga Profesional de Fútbol xG Table 2026

Who the Liga Profesional de Fútbol xG table says is due a correction

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto have the biggest shortfall in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol: 11 points from chances worth 26.7 xPts, a gap of 15.7. At the other end, Vélez Sarsfield have taken 49 points from an xPts figure of 37.7, 11.3 more than the underlying numbers justify.

How these xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026 xG table, Home

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1River Plate142225.2-3.21510.5+4.5+714.6-7.62227.3-5.3
2Argentinos Juniors142024.2-4.2811.4-3.4+1212.8-0.83426.5+7.5
3Lanús141519.9-4.9119.7+1.3+410.2-6.22326.2-3.2
4Instituto132019.9+0.1118.1+2.9+911.9-2.92825.7+2.3
5Boca Juniors131719.1-2.157.3-2.3+1211.8+0.22725.7+1.3
6Independiente Rivadavia143125.5+5.51714.6+2.4+1410.9+3.13225.4+6.6
7Unión Santa Fe132220.7+1.31310.9+2.1+99.9-0.92224.2-2.2
8Rosario Central131520.0-5.01110.3+0.7+49.7-5.72224.0-2.0
9Estudiantes142321.0+2.0713.1-6.1+167.9+8.12923.8+5.2
10Huracán141619.5-3.51013.1-3.1+66.4-0.42523.6+1.4
11Gimnasia La Plata132023.6-3.61614.6+1.4+49.0-5.02322.6+0.4
12Belgrano141918.3+0.71112.9-1.9+85.4+2.62422.1+1.9
13Defensa y Justicia141817.5+0.51314.0-1.0+53.5+1.52421.7+2.3
14Deportivo Riestra141114.3-3.31011.2-1.2+13.1-2.11621.2-5.2
15Tigre131417.2-3.21012.3-2.3+44.8-0.82120.7+0.3
16Vélez Sarsfield141817.9+0.11116.0-5.0+71.9+5.12920.5+8.5
17Independiente141816.0+2.01814.7+3.3+01.3-1.32020.5-0.5
18Atlético Tucumán141215.7-3.71312.9+0.1-12.8-3.81420.2-6.2
19Racing Club131517.0-2.01612.7+3.3-14.3-5.31620.0-4.0
20Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza131717.3-0.31113.9-2.9+63.3+2.72419.6+4.4
21Sarmiento131816.8+1.21114.5-3.5+72.3+4.72619.6+6.4
22Talleres Córdoba131417.8-3.81515.6-0.6-12.2-3.21819.5-1.5
23Banfield131718.0-1.01518.0-3.0+20.0+2.01918.3+0.7
24Newell's Old Boys141414.5-0.51417.4-3.4+0-2.9+2.91918.1+0.9
25San Lorenzo131315.4-2.41515.2-0.2-20.1-2.12017.9+2.1
26Aldosivi13912.3-3.31113.1-2.1-2-0.8-1.21416.8-2.8
27Barracas Central131112.2-1.21213.7-1.7-1-1.5+0.51516.6-1.6
28Platense13811.9-3.91714.1+2.9-9-2.2-6.81115.9-4.9
29Estudiantes de Río Cuarto14611.4-5.41517.0-2.0-9-5.6-3.4915.2-6.2
30Central Cordoba SdE131311.6+1.41515.0+0.0-2-3.5+1.51714.7+2.3

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026 xG table, Away

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1Instituto141418.8-4.81411.5+2.5+07.3-7.31823.7-5.7
2Boca Juniors142219.7+2.31513.4+1.6+76.3+0.72323.3-0.3
3River Plate121317.4-4.4910.0-1.0+47.3-3.32020.7-0.7
4Tigre141416.9-2.91615.7+0.3-21.1-3.11120.4-9.4
5Rosario Central141718.4-1.41418.8-4.8+3-0.4+3.42518.6+6.4
6Independiente Rivadavia131313.1-0.11213.0-1.0+10.1+0.92018.0+2.0
7Vélez Sarsfield131712.3+4.71213.0-1.0+5-0.7+5.72017.3+2.7
8Racing Club141516.1-1.11620.1-4.1-1-4.1+3.11617.2-1.2
9Platense141315.9-2.91518.1-3.1-2-2.2+0.21517.0-2.0
10Estudiantes13914.0-5.01114.7-3.7-2-0.7-1.31516.7-1.7
11Talleres Córdoba141413.3+0.71616.8-0.8-2-3.5+1.51616.6-0.6
12Lanús131614.9+1.11318.0-5.0+3-3.1+6.11816.4+1.6
13Argentinos Juniors131211.1+0.91512.9+2.1-3-1.8-1.21615.8+0.2
14Defensa y Justicia131614.2+1.81916.8+2.2-3-2.6-0.41615.8+0.2
15Atlético Tucumán131213.2-1.21616.0+0.0-4-2.7-1.31315.7-2.7
16Unión Santa Fe141914.8+4.22621.3+4.7-7-6.5-0.51215.5-3.5
17Barracas Central14129.7+2.31215.8-3.8+0-6.2+6.22115.3+5.7
18Belgrano131014.9-4.9919.6-10.6+1-4.7+5.72114.9+6.1
19Gimnasia La Plata141512.2+2.81918.1+0.9-4-5.9+1.92114.7+6.3
20Deportivo Riestra1339.2-6.21313.5-0.5-10-4.3-5.7614.0-8.0
21Independiente131712.1+4.91417.7-3.7+3-5.6+8.62114.0+7.0
22Huracán131210.3+1.71117.7-6.7+1-7.4+8.41612.8+3.2
23Banfield141212.9-0.92124.6-3.6-9-11.7+2.7912.8-3.8
24San Lorenzo1458.6-3.61017.8-7.8-5-9.2+4.21312.4+0.6
25Newell's Old Boys13129.7+2.32119.2+1.8-9-9.5+0.51311.6+1.4
26Estudiantes de Río Cuarto13511.0-6.02422.7+1.3-19-11.7-7.3211.6-9.6
27Central Cordoba SdE14612.1-6.12025.0-5.0-14-12.9-1.1811.6-3.6
28Aldosivi14911.8-2.82524.9+0.1-16-13.1-2.9210.9-8.9
29Sarmiento13129.6+2.42521.5+3.5-13-11.9-1.1910.8-1.8
30Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza141110.2+0.82323.6-0.6-12-13.4+1.41210.8+1.2

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026 xG table, Last 5

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1River Plate5118.9+2.184.2+3.8+34.8-1.8109.7+0.3
2Boca Juniors5119.0+2.034.6-1.6+84.3+3.7139.6+3.4
3Instituto5126.8+5.263.3+2.7+63.5+2.5129.3+2.7
4Gimnasia La Plata5810.7-2.765.4+0.6+25.3-3.399.2-0.2
5Belgrano559.1-4.135.2-2.2+23.8-1.898.8+0.2
6Estudiantes568.3-2.345.4-1.4+22.9-0.978.6-1.6
7Independiente Rivadavia5109.3+0.786.8+1.2+22.4-0.4108.4+1.6
8Defensa y Justicia587.7+0.335.4-2.4+52.3+2.7108.4+1.6
9Rosario Central555.4-0.444.3-0.3+11.0+0.087.5+0.5
10Barracas Central544.1-0.143.4+0.6+00.7-0.767.2-1.2
11Talleres Córdoba536.6-3.665.9+0.1-30.7-3.747.1-3.1
12Newell's Old Boys534.9-1.924.6-2.6+10.3+0.777.1-0.1
13Lanús566.8-0.826.6-4.6+40.3+3.7107.0+3.0
14Central Cordoba SdE546.2-2.276.4+0.6-3-0.3-2.736.7-3.7
15Vélez Sarsfield585.8+2.266.2-0.2+2-0.3+2.396.7+2.3
16Huracán577.4-0.448.4-4.4+3-1.0+4.0116.7+4.3
17Atlético Tucumán555.6-0.676.0+1.0-2-0.4-1.646.4-2.4
18Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza555.8-0.876.8+0.2-2-1.0-1.056.3-1.3
19Argentinos Juniors554.7+0.345.2-1.2+1-0.5+1.586.2+1.8
20Estudiantes de Río Cuarto545.6-1.696.5+2.5-5-1.0-4.016.2-5.2
21Platense544.4-0.475.6+1.4-3-1.2-1.825.7-3.7
22Independiente554.7+0.396.4+2.6-4-1.7-2.375.7+1.3
23Racing Club586.5+1.599.3-0.3-1-2.9+1.965.7+0.3
24Unión Santa Fe594.2+4.8107.2+2.8-1-2.9+1.965.6+0.4
25Aldosivi585.8+2.288.2-0.2+0-2.4+2.465.4+0.6
26Sarmiento575.8+1.288.4-0.4-1-2.6+1.675.2+1.8
27Tigre546.1-2.189.1-1.1-4-3.0-1.015.2-4.2
28Deportivo Riestra533.8-0.865.5+0.5-3-1.7-1.345.1-1.1
29Banfield575.4+1.61010.6-0.6-3-5.2+2.234.8-1.8
30San Lorenzo523.8-1.878.6-1.6-5-4.7-0.343.8+0.2

Liga Profesional de Fútbol xG Table Questions

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team is overperforming their xG the most this season?

Independiente are overperforming their xG by more than any other side in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2026, with 35 goals from chances worth 28.1 xG, a gap of 6.9. Unión Santa Fe are next on 5.5.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team is underperforming their xG the most this season?

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto are underperforming their xG by more than any other side in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2026, with 11 goals from chances worth 22.4 xG, a shortfall of 11.4. Deportivo Riestra are next on 10.2.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team has been the luckiest on expected points this season?

Vélez Sarsfield are the luckiest side in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2026, with 48 points from performances worth 36.9 xPts, 11.1 more than their chances deserved. Independiente Rivadavia are next on 8.7.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team has been the unluckiest on expected points this season?

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto are the unluckiest side in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2026, with 11 points from performances worth 26.7 xPts, 15.7 short of what they deserved. Deportivo Riestra are next on 13.2.

Who would be top of Liga Profesional de Fútbol on xG this season?

Instituto would be top of Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2026 on expected points, with 49.4 xPts from 38.7 xG created and 19.5 conceded across 27 matches. Boca Juniors are next on 49.0.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team has the most xG this season?

River Plate have created the most xG in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2026, 42.5 from 26 matches, 1.6 a game against a competition average of 1.1. Boca Juniors are next on 38.8.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team has the least xG this season?

Barracas Central have created the least xG in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2026, 21.9 from 27 matches, 0.8 a game against a competition average of 1.1. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto are next on 22.4.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team has conceded the most xG this season?

Banfield have conceded the most xG in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2026, 41.6 from 26 matches, 1.6 a game against a competition average of 1.1. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and Central Cordoba SdE are next on 39.7.

Which Liga Profesional de Fútbol team has conceded the least xG this season?

Instituto have conceded the least xG in Liga Profesional de Fútbol in 2026, 19.5 from 27 matches, 0.7 a game against a competition average of 1.1. River Plate are next on 20.6.

What is the average xG per game in Liga Profesional de Fútbol this season?

Liga Profesional de Fútbol teams have averaged 1.15 xG a game in 2026, from the 400 matches played, and have scored 1.07 goals a game from it. That is up from 1.09 xG a game in 2025.

Do Liga Profesional de Fútbol teams create more xG at home or away this season?

Liga Profesional de Fútbol teams create more xG at home in 2026, 1.32 a game against 0.98 away, a home advantage of +0.33, against +0.34 in 2025.

Liga Profesional de Fútbol player expected goals

The same season by player, with the goals each one scored against the chances they had.

  • Liga Profesional de Fútbol Player xG Stats 2026

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Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026 xG table

# Team Played Goals xG Goals minus xG Goals against xGA Goals against minus xGA Goal difference xGD Goal difference minus xGD Points xPts Points minus xPts
1 Instituto 27 34 38.7 -4.7 25 19.5 +5.5 +9 19.2 -10.2 46 49.4 -3.4
2 Boca Juniors 27 39 38.8 +0.2 20 20.7 -0.7 +19 18.1 +0.9 50 49.0 +1.0
3 River Plate 26 35 42.5 -7.5 24 20.6 +3.4 +11 22.0 -11.0 42 48.0 -6.0
4 Independiente Rivadavia 27 44 38.6 +5.4 29 27.6 +1.4 +15 11.0 +4.0 52 43.3 +8.7
5 Rosario Central 27 32 38.4 -6.4 25 29.1 -4.1 +7 9.3 -2.3 47 42.6 +4.4
6 Lanús 27 31 34.8 -3.8 24 27.8 -3.8 +7 7.1 -0.1 41 42.6 -1.6
7 Argentinos Juniors 27 32 35.4 -3.4 23 24.4 -1.4 +9 11.0 -2.0 50 42.3 +7.7
8 Tigre 27 28 34.0 -6.0 26 28.0 -2.0 +2 6.0 -4.0 32 41.2 -9.2
9 Estudiantes 27 32 35.0 -3.0 18 27.8 -9.8 +14 7.2 +6.8 44 40.4 +3.6
10 Unión Santa Fe 27 41 35.5 +5.5 39 32.2 +6.8 +2 3.3 -1.3 34 39.7 -5.7
11 Vélez Sarsfield 27 35 30.2 +4.8 23 29.0 -6.0 +12 1.2 +10.8 49 37.7 +11.3
12 Defensa y Justicia 27 34 31.7 +2.3 32 30.8 +1.2 +2 0.9 +1.1 40 37.5 +2.5
13 Gimnasia La Plata 27 35 35.9 -0.9 35 32.8 +2.2 +0 3.1 -3.1 44 37.3 +6.7
14 Racing Club 27 30 33.1 -3.1 32 32.9 -0.9 -2 0.3 -2.3 32 37.2 -5.2
15 Belgrano 27 29 33.2 -4.2 20 32.6 -12.6 +9 0.7 +8.3 45 37.0 +8.0
16 Huracán 27 28 29.8 -1.8 21 30.8 -9.8 +7 -1.0 +8.0 41 36.4 +4.6
17 Talleres Córdoba 27 28 31.1 -3.1 31 32.4 -1.4 -3 -1.3 -1.7 34 36.2 -2.2
18 Atlético Tucumán 27 24 28.9 -4.9 29 28.8 +0.2 -5 0.1 -5.1 27 35.9 -8.9
19 Deportivo Riestra 27 14 23.5 -9.5 23 24.7 -1.7 -9 -1.2 -7.8 22 35.2 -13.2
20 Independiente 27 35 28.1 +6.9 32 32.4 -0.4 +3 -4.3 +7.3 41 34.6 +6.4
21 Platense 27 21 27.8 -6.8 32 32.2 -0.2 -11 -4.4 -6.6 26 33.0 -7.0
22 Barracas Central 27 23 21.9 +1.1 24 29.6 -5.6 -1 -7.7 +6.7 36 31.9 +4.1
23 Banfield 27 29 30.9 -1.9 36 42.6 -6.6 -7 -11.7 +4.7 28 31.1 -3.1
24 Sarmiento 26 30 26.4 +3.6 36 36.0 +0.0 -6 -9.5 +3.5 35 30.4 +4.6
25 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 27 28 27.4 +0.6 34 37.5 -3.5 -6 -10.0 +4.0 36 30.4 +5.6
26 San Lorenzo 27 18 23.9 -5.9 25 33.0 -8.0 -7 -9.1 +2.1 33 30.3 +2.7
27 Newell's Old Boys 27 26 24.2 +1.8 35 36.6 -1.6 -9 -12.4 +3.4 32 29.7 +2.3
28 Aldosivi 27 18 24.1 -6.1 36 38.0 -2.0 -18 -13.9 -4.1 16 27.7 -11.7
29 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 27 11 22.4 -11.4 39 39.7 -0.7 -28 -17.3 -10.7 11 26.7 -15.7
30 Central Cordoba SdE 27 19 23.6 -4.6 35 40.0 -5.0 -16 -16.4 +0.4 25 26.3 -1.3

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