Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected goal difference is the gap between the two, so a side above its actual goal difference has created more than it has taken. Figures count ties in this competition only. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks.
| # | Team | Played | Goals | xG | Goals minus xG | Goals against | xGA | Goals against minus xGA | Goal difference | xGD | Goal difference minus xGD | Points | xPts | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 4 | 8 | 7.7 | +0.3 | 4 | 3.9 | +0.1 | +4 | 3.9 | +0.1 | 9 | 7.2 | +1.8 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 7.3 | -3.3 | 3 | 5.6 | -2.6 | +1 | 1.7 | -0.7 | 7 | 5.7 | +1.3 |
| 3 | Cardiff City | 3 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.0 | 4 | 5.2 | -1.2 | +2 | 0.8 | +1.2 | 6 | 4.7 | +1.3 |
| 4 | Manchester City | 2 | 5 | 3.5 | +1.5 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | +4 | 2.4 | +1.6 | 6 | 4.5 | +1.5 |
| 5 | Wigan Athletic | 3 | 2 | 2.7 | -0.7 | 2 | 2.2 | -0.2 | +0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 6 | 4.3 | +1.7 |
| 6 | Swansea City | 4 | 8 | 4.5 | +3.5 | 7 | 6.4 | +0.6 | +1 | -1.9 | +2.9 | 7 | 4.3 | +2.7 |
| 7 | Fulham | 2 | 3 | 2.6 | +0.4 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | +3 | 2.0 | +1.0 | 6 | 4.2 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 3 | 8 | 4.3 | +3.7 | 6 | 4.3 | +1.7 | +2 | 0.1 | +1.9 | 6 | 4.1 | +1.9 |
| 9 | Burnley | 2 | 3 | 3.3 | -0.3 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5 | +0 | 1.8 | -1.8 | 3 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Wrexham | 3 | 6 | 4.3 | +1.7 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.0 | +1 | -0.7 | +1.7 | 4 | 3.8 | +0.2 |
| 11 | Grimsby Town | 3 | 5 | 5.3 | -0.3 | 8 | 6.0 | +2.0 | -3 | -0.7 | -2.3 | 4 | 3.7 | +0.3 |
| 12 | Birmingham City | 2 | 2 | 3.6 | -1.6 | 2 | 1.7 | +0.3 | +0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 3 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 3 | 4 | 3.0 | +1.0 | 9 | 5.1 | +3.9 | -5 | -2.1 | -2.9 | 4 | 2.7 | +1.3 |
| 14 | Cheltenham Town | 1 | 2 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | +2 | 2.4 | -0.4 | 3 | 2.6 | +0.4 |
| 15 | West Bromwich Albion | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 0.2 | +0.8 | +0 | 1.8 | -1.8 | 1 | 2.6 | -1.6 |
| 16 | Everton | 1 | 2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3 | +2 | 1.8 | +0.2 | 3 | 2.6 | +0.4 |
| 17 | Bromley | 2 | 2 | 2.5 | -0.5 | 2 | 2.8 | -0.8 | +0 | -0.3 | +0.3 | 2 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 18 | Plymouth Argyle | 1 | 3 | 4.2 | -1.2 | 2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | +1 | 2.6 | -1.6 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 |
| 19 | Oxford United | 2 | 1 | 2.6 | -1.6 | 6 | 3.3 | +2.7 | -5 | -0.7 | -4.3 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 |
| 20 | Huddersfield Town | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | +0.2 | 4 | 2.3 | +1.7 | -2 | -0.5 | -1.5 | 1 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 21 | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 2 | 0.8 | +1.2 | -2 | 1.2 | -3.2 | 0 | 2.2 | -2.2 |
| 22 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | +0 | 1.2 | -1.2 | 1 | 2.2 | -1.2 |
| 23 | Bristol City | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | +0.6 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 | +2 | 1.0 | +1.0 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8 |
| 24 | Accrington Stanley | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | +0.3 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 | -1 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8 |
| 25 | Coventry City | 1 | 1 | 2.7 | -1.7 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 | +1 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 3 | 2.1 | +0.9 |
| 26 | Stockport County | 1 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 | +2 | 0.8 | +1.2 | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1 |
| 27 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | +3 | 0.8 | +2.2 | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1 |
| 28 | Bolton Wanderers | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1 | +0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 29 | Cambridge United | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 | +2 | 0.6 | +1.4 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.2 |
| 30 | Blackburn Rovers | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 2 | 0.5 | +1.5 | -1 | 0.5 | -1.5 | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8 |
| 31 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4 | +0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 32 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 | -3 | -1.1 | -1.9 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 33 | Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | +0.3 | 4 | 3.2 | +0.8 | -2 | -1.5 | -0.5 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.2 |
| 34 | Charlton Athletic | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4 | +2 | 0.5 | +1.5 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3 |
| 35 | Salford City | 1 | 0 | 1.6 | -1.6 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | +0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 1 | 1.7 | -0.7 |
| 36 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | -2 | 0.4 | -2.4 | 0 | 1.6 | -1.6 |
| 37 | Portsmouth | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 2 | 1.8 | +0.2 | -1 | 0.2 | -1.2 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 |
| 38 | Preston North End | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | +0.8 | 3 | 1.0 | +2.0 | -1 | 0.2 | -1.2 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 |
| 39 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -1 | 0.1 | -1.1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4 |
| 40 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4 | -1 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3 |
| 41 | Tranmere Rovers | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | +0 | 0.0 | +0.0 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 42 | Newport County | 1 | 0 | 2.3 | -2.3 | 1 | 2.4 | -1.4 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3 |
| 43 | Gillingham | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1 | +0 | -0.1 | +0.1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 44 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | +0 | -0.1 | +0.1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 45 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -1 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 |
| 46 | Watford | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +0.6 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | -1 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
| 47 | Norwich City | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 3 | 0.8 | +2.2 | -3 | -0.4 | -2.6 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
| 48 | Northampton Town | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6 | -1 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
| 49 | Reading | 1 | 2 | 0.9 | +1.1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | +1 | -0.5 | +1.5 | 3 | 1.0 | +2.0 |
| 50 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | 4 | 1.7 | +2.3 | -4 | -0.6 | -3.4 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
| 51 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | 2 | 4.4 | -2.4 | -1 | -3.7 | +2.7 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| 52 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 2 | 1.1 | +0.9 | -2 | -0.5 | -1.5 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 53 | Lincoln City | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | -1 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 54 | Burton Albion | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 1 | 1.7 | -0.7 | -1 | -1.2 | +0.2 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 55 | Millwall | 1 | 2 | 0.8 | +1.2 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | +1 | -1.2 | +2.2 | 3 | 0.6 | +2.4 |
| 56 | Port Vale | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 2 | 1.1 | +0.9 | -2 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
| 57 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1 | 1 | 0.3 | +0.7 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | +0 | -1.8 | +1.8 | 1 | 0.3 | +0.7 |
| 58 | Chelsea | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.0 | -1 | -2.3 | +1.3 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3 |
| 59 | Harrogate Town | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +0.6 | 3 | 2.7 | +0.3 | -2 | -2.3 | +0.3 | 0 | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| # | Team | Played | Goals | xG | Goals minus xG | Goals against | xGA | Goals against minus xGA | Goal difference | xGD | Goal difference minus xGD | Points | xPts | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 4 | 9 | 7.1 | +1.9 | 1 | 2.3 | -1.3 | +8 | 4.8 | +3.2 | 12 | 8.9 | +3.1 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 4 | 9 | 7.5 | +1.5 | 6 | 3.8 | +2.2 | +3 | 3.8 | -0.8 | 9 | 7.8 | +1.2 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 12 | 5.8 | +6.2 | 2 | 3.8 | -1.8 | +10 | 2.1 | +7.9 | 6 | 5.6 | +0.4 |
| 4 | Lincoln City | 2 | 4 | 4.5 | -0.5 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 | +3 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 6 | 4.9 | +1.1 |
| 5 | Doncaster Rovers | 3 | 6 | 4.2 | +1.8 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 | +3 | 1.1 | +1.9 | 6 | 4.9 | +1.1 |
| 6 | Arsenal | 2 | 5 | 4.1 | +0.9 | 2 | 0.8 | +1.2 | +3 | 3.3 | -0.3 | 6 | 4.8 | +1.2 |
| 7 | Southampton | 3 | 5 | 3.7 | +1.3 | 2 | 2.8 | -0.8 | +3 | 0.9 | +2.1 | 6 | 4.7 | +1.3 |
| 8 | Wycombe Wanderers | 3 | 4 | 3.0 | +1.0 | 1 | 3.3 | -2.3 | +3 | -0.3 | +3.3 | 7 | 3.8 | +3.2 |
| 9 | Fulham | 2 | 2 | 2.6 | -0.6 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6 | -1 | 1.2 | -2.2 | 1 | 3.4 | -2.4 |
| 10 | Port Vale | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | +0.2 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 | +2 | 1.0 | +1.0 | 6 | 3.4 | +2.6 |
| 11 | Brentford | 3 | 7 | 2.8 | +4.2 | 2 | 3.7 | -1.7 | +5 | -0.9 | +5.9 | 6 | 3.3 | +2.7 |
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 2 | 2.3 | -0.3 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.2 | -1 | 0.5 | -1.5 | 1 | 3.1 | -2.1 |
| 13 | Leeds United | 1 | 1 | 3.5 | -2.5 | 1 | 0.3 | +0.7 | +0 | 3.2 | -3.2 | 1 | 2.8 | -1.8 |
| 14 | Cardiff City | 2 | 4 | 2.7 | +1.3 | 2 | 2.6 | -0.6 | +2 | 0.1 | +1.9 | 6 | 2.8 | +3.2 |
| 15 | Bradford City | 3 | 6 | 2.4 | +3.6 | 5 | 6.0 | -1.0 | +1 | -3.5 | +4.5 | 6 | 2.8 | +3.2 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 4 | 2.8 | +1.2 | 1 | 4.8 | -3.8 | +3 | -1.9 | +4.9 | 4 | 2.6 | +1.4 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 1 | 2 | 2.5 | -0.5 | 3 | 0.8 | +2.2 | -1 | 1.6 | -2.6 | 0 | 2.4 | -2.4 |
| 18 | Rotherham United | 2 | 1 | 2.7 | -1.7 | 2 | 3.2 | -1.2 | -1 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 1 | 2.4 | -1.4 |
| 19 | Manchester United | 1 | 2 | 3.3 | -1.3 | 2 | 1.5 | +0.5 | +0 | 1.9 | -1.9 | 1 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 20 | Coventry City | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 2 | 0.8 | +1.2 | -1 | 1.2 | -2.2 | 0 | 2.2 | -2.2 |
| 21 | Cambridge United | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | +0.6 | 1 | 2.3 | -1.3 | +1 | -0.9 | +1.9 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8 |
| 22 | Reading | 2 | 2 | 2.5 | -0.5 | 3 | 3.5 | -0.5 | -1 | -1.0 | +0.0 | 3 | 2.1 | +0.9 |
| 23 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 3.3 | -1.3 | 1 | 4.4 | -3.4 | +1 | -1.1 | +2.1 | 4 | 2.1 | +1.9 |
| 24 | Hull City | 1 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6 | +0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 |
| 25 | Fleetwood Town | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.0 | 2 | 1.1 | +0.9 | +0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 26 | Ipswich Town | 1 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2 | +0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 27 | Everton | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | -2 | 0.6 | -2.6 | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8 |
| 28 | Walsall | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 | +0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 29 | Grimsby Town | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 | +1 | 0.4 | +0.6 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3 |
| 30 | Preston North End | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | +1 | 0.3 | +0.7 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4 |
| 31 | Plymouth Argyle | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 | +0 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 32 | Norwich City | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | 1 | 0.4 | +0.6 | +1 | 0.3 | +0.7 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5 |
| 33 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | +0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 34 | Burton Albion | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | +0 | 0.0 | +0.0 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 35 | Mansfield Town | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | +1.0 | 2 | 3.2 | -1.2 | +0 | -2.2 | +2.2 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7 |
| 36 | Colchester United | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2 |
| 37 | Stockport County | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2 |
| 38 | Wrexham | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | +2.0 | 2 | 1.2 | +0.8 | +1 | -0.2 | +1.2 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8 |
| 39 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 2 | 1.5 | +0.5 | -2 | -0.4 | -1.6 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 |
| 40 | Leicester City | 1 | 2 | 0.9 | +1.1 | 2 | 1.3 | +0.7 | +0 | -0.4 | +0.4 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| 41 | Peterborough United | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 2 | 1.3 | +0.7 | -1 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
| 42 | Charlton Athletic | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4 | -2 | -0.6 | -1.4 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
| 43 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9 | -2 | -0.5 | -1.5 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 44 | Huddersfield Town | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | +0 | -0.5 | +0.5 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1 |
| 45 | Notts County | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -1 | -0.6 | -0.4 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 46 | Sheffield Wednesday | 1 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5 | +0 | -0.6 | +0.6 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1 |
| 47 | Crewe Alexandra | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8 | -2 | -0.8 | -1.2 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 48 | Bristol City | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 2 | 0.9 | +1.1 | -2 | -0.5 | -1.5 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 49 | Luton Town | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 | 1 | 2.7 | -1.7 | -1 | -1.2 | +0.2 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 50 | Derby County | 2 | 2 | 0.8 | +1.2 | 3 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -1 | -3.2 | +2.2 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 |
| 51 | West Ham United | 1 | 2 | 1.1 | +0.9 | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7 | -1 | -1.2 | +0.2 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7 |
| 52 | Cheltenham Town | 1 | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8 | 3 | 3.3 | -0.3 | -3 | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7 |
| 53 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 2 | 1.4 | +0.6 | -2 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 54 | Newcastle United | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7 | -2 | -1.3 | -0.7 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 55 | Swindon Town | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | 2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | -1 | -1.4 | +0.4 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 56 | Crawley Town | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 | -2 | -1.7 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 57 | Queens Park Rangers | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | 3 | 4.2 | -1.2 | -1 | -2.6 | +1.6 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
| 58 | Exeter City | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 2 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -2 | -2.4 | +0.4 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3 |
| 59 | Shrewsbury Town | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | 3 | 3.2 | -0.2 | -2 | -2.5 | +0.5 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3 |
| 60 | Sheffield United | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +0.6 | 2 | 3.3 | -1.3 | -1 | -3.0 | +2.0 | 0 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
Brighton & Hove Albion overperformed their xG by more than any other side in the Carabao Cup in 2025/2026, with 12 goals from chances worth 5.8 xG, a gap of 6.2. Brentford were next on 4.6.
Cheltenham Town underperformed their xG by more than any other side in the Carabao Cup in 2025/2026, with 2 goals from chances worth 4.9 xG, a shortfall of 2.9. Coventry City were next on 2.7.
Arsenal created the most xG in the Carabao Cup in 2025/2026, 11.4 from six matches, 1.9 a game against a competition average of 1.3. Manchester City were next on 10.6.
Watford, Milton Keynes Dons, Harrogate Town and Sheffield United shared the least xG in the Carabao Cup in 2025/2026, all on 0.4 from one match, 0.4 a game against a competition average of 1.3. Bristol Rovers were next on 0.5.
Cardiff City conceded the most xG in the Carabao Cup in 2025/2026, 7.8 from five matches, 1.6 a game against a competition average of 1.3. Chelsea were next on 6.8.
West Bromwich Albion conceded the least xG in the Carabao Cup in 2025/2026, 0.2 from one match, 0.2 a game against a competition average of 1.3. Leeds United were next on 0.3.
Carabao Cup teams averaged 1.31 xG a game in 2025/2026, from the 91 matches played, and scored 1.38 goals a game from it. That is down from 1.40 xG a game in 2024/2025.
Carabao Cup teams created more xG at home in 2025/2026, 1.34 a game against 1.27 away, a home advantage of +0.07, against +0.42 in 2024/2025.
| # | Team | Played | Goals | xG | Goals minus xG | Goals against | xGA | Goals against minus xGA | Goal difference | xGD | Goal difference minus xGD | Points | xPts | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 14 | 10.6 | +3.4 | 2 | 3.4 | -1.4 | +12 | 7.2 | +4.8 | 18 | 13.3 | +4.7 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 9 | 11.4 | -2.4 | 5 | 6.3 | -1.3 | +4 | 5.0 | -1.0 | 13 | 10.5 | +2.5 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 5 | 11 | 8.2 | +2.8 | 9 | 6.8 | +2.2 | +2 | 1.5 | +0.5 | 9 | 8.0 | +1.0 |
| 4 | Newcastle United | 5 | 9 | 8.7 | +0.3 | 7 | 6.2 | +0.8 | +2 | 2.5 | -0.5 | 9 | 7.8 | +1.2 |
| 5 | Fulham | 4 | 5 | 5.2 | -0.2 | 3 | 2.1 | +0.9 | +2 | 3.1 | -1.1 | 7 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 6 | Cardiff City | 5 | 10 | 8.6 | +1.4 | 6 | 7.8 | -1.8 | +4 | 0.9 | +3.1 | 12 | 7.5 | +4.5 |
| 7 | Lincoln City | 3 | 5 | 5.7 | -0.7 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 | +2 | 2.7 | -0.7 | 6 | 5.8 | +0.2 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 12 | 5.8 | +6.2 | 2 | 3.8 | -1.8 | +10 | 2.1 | +7.9 | 6 | 5.6 | +0.4 |
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 4 | 6 | 6.1 | -0.1 | 8 | 6.4 | +1.6 | -2 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 7 | 5.4 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Wrexham | 4 | 9 | 5.2 | +3.8 | 7 | 6.2 | +0.8 | +2 | -1.0 | +3.0 | 7 | 5.0 | +2.0 |
| 11 | Doncaster Rovers | 3 | 6 | 4.2 | +1.8 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 | +3 | 1.1 | +1.9 | 6 | 4.9 | +1.1 |
| 12 | Southampton | 3 | 5 | 3.7 | +1.3 | 2 | 2.8 | -0.8 | +3 | 0.9 | +2.1 | 6 | 4.7 | +1.3 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 5 | 4.9 | +0.1 | 2 | 5.6 | -3.6 | +3 | -0.7 | +3.7 | 5 | 4.7 | +0.3 |
| 14 | Brentford | 4 | 8 | 3.4 | +4.6 | 3 | 4.4 | -1.4 | +5 | -1.0 | +6.0 | 7 | 4.5 | +2.5 |
| 15 | Everton | 2 | 2 | 3.4 | -1.4 | 2 | 1.0 | +1.0 | +0 | 2.4 | -2.4 | 3 | 4.4 | -1.4 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic | 3 | 2 | 2.7 | -0.7 | 2 | 2.2 | -0.2 | +0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 6 | 4.3 | +1.7 |
| 17 | Swansea City | 4 | 8 | 4.5 | +3.5 | 7 | 6.4 | +0.6 | +1 | -1.9 | +2.9 | 7 | 4.3 | +2.7 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 2 | 2 | 4.7 | -2.7 | 2 | 2.3 | -0.3 | +0 | 2.4 | -2.4 | 3 | 4.2 | -1.2 |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 3 | 8 | 4.3 | +3.7 | 6 | 4.3 | +1.7 | +2 | 0.1 | +1.9 | 6 | 4.1 | +1.9 |
| 20 | Wycombe Wanderers | 4 | 5 | 3.3 | +1.7 | 2 | 5.3 | -3.3 | +3 | -2.1 | +5.1 | 8 | 4.1 | +3.9 |
| 21 | Plymouth Argyle | 2 | 4 | 5.5 | -1.5 | 3 | 2.6 | +0.4 | +1 | 2.9 | -1.9 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.0 |
| 22 | Cambridge United | 3 | 5 | 3.0 | +2.0 | 2 | 3.3 | -1.3 | +3 | -0.3 | +3.3 | 6 | 4.0 | +2.0 |
| 23 | Burnley | 2 | 3 | 3.3 | -0.3 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5 | +0 | 1.8 | -1.8 | 3 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 3 | 2 | 1.9 | +0.1 | 2 | 1.9 | +0.1 | +0 | 0.0 | +0.0 | 6 | 3.9 | +2.1 |
| 25 | Birmingham City | 2 | 2 | 3.6 | -1.6 | 2 | 1.7 | +0.3 | +0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 3 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 26 | Cheltenham Town | 2 | 2 | 4.9 | -2.9 | 3 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -1 | 0.9 | -1.9 | 3 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 27 | Huddersfield Town | 3 | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7 | 5 | 3.4 | +1.6 | -2 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 2 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
| 28 | Stockport County | 2 | 3 | 2.8 | +0.2 | 2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | +1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 29 | Preston North End | 2 | 3 | 2.6 | +0.4 | 3 | 2.0 | +1.0 | +0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 3 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 30 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 2 | 2.3 | -0.3 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.2 | -1 | 0.5 | -1.5 | 1 | 3.1 | -2.1 |
| 31 | Reading | 3 | 4 | 3.4 | +0.6 | 4 | 4.8 | -0.8 | +0 | -1.4 | +1.4 | 6 | 3.1 | +2.9 |
| 32 | Bristol City | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | +0.2 | 2 | 1.3 | +0.7 | +0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.0 |
| 33 | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 3 | 2.7 | +0.3 | 2 | 2.3 | -0.3 | +1 | 0.4 | +0.6 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.0 |
| 34 | Leeds United | 1 | 1 | 3.5 | -2.5 | 1 | 0.3 | +0.7 | +0 | 3.2 | -3.2 | 1 | 2.8 | -1.8 |
| 35 | Bradford City | 3 | 6 | 2.4 | +3.6 | 5 | 6.0 | -1.0 | +1 | -3.5 | +4.5 | 6 | 2.8 | +3.2 |
| 36 | Charlton Athletic | 2 | 4 | 2.1 | +1.9 | 4 | 2.2 | +1.8 | +0 | -0.1 | +0.1 | 3 | 2.7 | +0.3 |
| 37 | Barnsley | 3 | 4 | 3.0 | +1.0 | 9 | 5.1 | +3.9 | -5 | -2.1 | -2.9 | 4 | 2.7 | +1.3 |
| 38 | Millwall | 3 | 4 | 4.1 | -0.1 | 2 | 6.4 | -4.4 | +2 | -2.3 | +4.3 | 7 | 2.7 | +4.3 |
| 39 | West Bromwich Albion | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 0.2 | +0.8 | +0 | 1.8 | -1.8 | 1 | 2.6 | -1.6 |
| 40 | Bromley | 2 | 2 | 2.5 | -0.5 | 2 | 2.8 | -0.8 | +0 | -0.3 | +0.3 | 2 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 41 | Norwich City | 2 | 2 | 1.1 | +0.9 | 4 | 1.2 | +2.8 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.9 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 |
| 42 | Nottingham Forest | 1 | 2 | 2.5 | -0.5 | 3 | 0.8 | +2.2 | -1 | 1.6 | -2.6 | 0 | 2.4 | -2.4 |
| 43 | Rotherham United | 2 | 1 | 2.7 | -1.7 | 2 | 3.2 | -1.2 | -1 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 1 | 2.4 | -1.4 |
| 44 | Oxford United | 2 | 1 | 2.6 | -1.6 | 6 | 3.3 | +2.7 | -5 | -0.7 | -4.3 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 |
| 45 | Manchester United | 1 | 2 | 3.3 | -1.3 | 2 | 1.5 | +0.5 | +0 | 1.9 | -1.9 | 1 | 2.3 | -1.3 |
| 46 | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 2 | 0.8 | +1.2 | -2 | 1.2 | -3.2 | 0 | 2.2 | -2.2 |
| 47 | Accrington Stanley | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | +0.3 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 | -1 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8 |
| 48 | Hull City | 1 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6 | +0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 |
| 49 | Fleetwood Town | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.0 | 2 | 1.1 | +0.9 | +0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 50 | Burton Albion | 2 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 2 | 2.5 | -0.5 | -1 | -1.2 | +0.2 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 51 | Sheffield Wednesday | 3 | 4 | 1.6 | +2.4 | 5 | 5.8 | -0.8 | -1 | -4.3 | +3.3 | 2 | 1.9 | +0.1 |
| 52 | Ipswich Town | 1 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2 | +0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 53 | Bolton Wanderers | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1 | +0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 54 | Blackburn Rovers | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 2 | 0.5 | +1.5 | -1 | 0.5 | -1.5 | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8 |
| 55 | Walsall | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 | +0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 56 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4 | +0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 57 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6 | -3 | -1.1 | -1.9 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 58 | Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | +0.3 | 4 | 3.2 | +0.8 | -2 | -1.5 | -0.5 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.2 |
| 59 | Salford City | 1 | 0 | 1.6 | -1.6 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | +0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 1 | 1.7 | -0.7 |
| 60 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | -2 | 0.4 | -2.4 | 0 | 1.6 | -1.6 |
| 61 | Portsmouth | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 2 | 1.8 | +0.2 | -1 | 0.2 | -1.2 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 |
| 62 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -1 | 0.1 | -1.1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4 |
| 63 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | +0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 64 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4 | -1 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3 |
| 65 | Tranmere Rovers | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | +0 | 0.0 | +0.0 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 66 | Newport County | 1 | 0 | 2.3 | -2.3 | 1 | 2.4 | -1.4 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3 |
| 67 | Gillingham | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1 | +0 | -0.1 | +0.1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
| 68 | Mansfield Town | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | +1.0 | 2 | 3.2 | -1.2 | +0 | -2.2 | +2.2 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7 |
| 69 | Colchester United | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2 |
| 70 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -1 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 |
| 71 | Watford | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +0.6 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.3 | -1 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
| 72 | Leicester City | 1 | 2 | 0.9 | +1.1 | 2 | 1.3 | +0.7 | +0 | -0.4 | +0.4 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| 73 | Northampton Town | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6 | -1 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
| 74 | Peterborough United | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 2 | 1.3 | +0.7 | -1 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
| 75 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 | 4 | 1.7 | +2.3 | -4 | -0.6 | -3.4 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
| 76 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 2 | 1.1 | +0.9 | -2 | -0.5 | -1.5 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 77 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9 | -2 | -0.5 | -1.5 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 78 | Notts County | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | -1 | -0.6 | -0.4 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 79 | Crewe Alexandra | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 3 | 2.2 | +0.8 | -2 | -0.8 | -1.2 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| 80 | Luton Town | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5 | 1 | 2.7 | -1.7 | -1 | -1.2 | +0.2 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
| 81 | Derby County | 2 | 2 | 0.8 | +1.2 | 3 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -1 | -3.2 | +2.2 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 |
| 82 | West Ham United | 1 | 2 | 1.1 | +0.9 | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7 | -1 | -1.2 | +0.2 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7 |
| 83 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 2 | 1.4 | +0.6 | -2 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 84 | Swindon Town | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | 2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | -1 | -1.4 | +0.4 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 85 | Crawley Town | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5 | -2 | -1.7 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 86 | Queens Park Rangers | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | 3 | 4.2 | -1.2 | -1 | -2.6 | +1.6 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
| 87 | Exeter City | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 2 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -2 | -2.4 | +0.4 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3 |
| 88 | Shrewsbury Town | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3 | 3 | 3.2 | -0.2 | -2 | -2.5 | +0.5 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3 |
| 89 | Harrogate Town | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +0.6 | 3 | 2.7 | +0.3 | -2 | -2.3 | +0.3 | 0 | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| 90 | Sheffield United | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +0.6 | 2 | 3.3 | -1.3 | -1 | -3.0 | +2.0 | 0 | 0.1 | -0.1 |