Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe 3rd T20I Prediction (1 Nov): Projections & Preview
Afghanistan host Zimbabwe in the 3rd T20I of their series at a neutral venue on Sunday. First ball is at 14:30 UTC on Sunday 1 November (14:30 UK time, 20:00 IST). Afghanistan have won their last two meetings and hold a commanding 13-1 record in T20 Internationals against Zimbabwe. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe fixture page on Statz.
Form and Table
Afghanistan – Ranked 10th (8,925 points, 41 matches)
Afghanistan have won their last 2. Their last 5 matches were played: 3 neutral, 2 away.
- 29 Oct vs ZIM (N): W – AFG 221/7 (20), ZIM 202/5 (20)
- 27 Oct vs ZIM (N): W – AFG 177/10 (19.5), ZIM 140/10 (19.1)
- 25 Sep vs NEP (N): L – AFG 102/7 (20), NEP 103/5 (17.2)
- 24 Sep vs JPN (A): W – AFG 129/6 (20), JPN 81/10 (19.3)
- 17 Sep vs IND (A): L – AFG 94/10 (14.1), IND 221/7 (20)
Zimbabwe – Ranked 12th (11,911 points, 59 matches)
Zimbabwe have lost their last 3. Their last 5 matches were played: 4 neutral, 1 away.
- 29 Oct vs AFG (N): L – ZIM 202/5 (20), AFG 221/7 (20)
- 27 Oct vs AFG (N): L – ZIM 140/10 (19.1), AFG 177/10 (19.5)
- 6 Sep vs RSA (N): L – ZIM 157/10 (18), RSA 205/5 (20)
- 3 Sep vs NAM (A): W – ZIM 159/5 (18.1), NAM 156/6 (20)
- 1 Sep vs RSA (N): L – ZIM 142/10 (17.4), RSA 185/7 (20)
Head-to-Head
Afghanistan dominate this fixture. In 14 T20 Internationals between the sides, Afghanistan have won 13 to Zimbabwe’s 1. The most recent meetings show Afghanistan’s superiority – they won on 29 October by 19 runs and on 27 October by 37 runs, both at Sharjah. Before that, Afghanistan won at Harare Sports Club on 2 November 2025 by 9 runs and on 31 October 2025 by 7 wickets.
Among Afghanistan’s leading performers in this head-to-head, Rahmanullah Gurbaz has scored 443 runs across 15 matches, while Mohammad Nabi has 305 runs from 14 outings. With the ball, Rashid Khan has taken 30 wickets in 12 matches against Zimbabwe. For Zimbabwe, Sikandar Raza leads with 441 runs from 15 matches, while Blessing Muzarabani has claimed 12 wickets in just 4 outings.
Statz Projections and Projected Score
The Statz projections make Afghanistan clear favourites in both scenarios.
If Afghanistan bat first: Projected first-innings total of 158.1, match total of 300.6. Win probability – AFG 64%, ZIM 34%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 135 to 182.
If Zimbabwe bat first: Projected first-innings total of 150.1, match total of 293.4. Win probability – AFG 64.1%, ZIM 33.9%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 120 to 179.
The projected match totals sit around 297 runs. Afghanistan win 64% batting first and 64.1% bowling first – a marginal difference that suggests the toss is almost immaterial. Zimbabwe’s win probability hovers around 34% either way, reflecting their current form and the gulf in class between the sides.
Season Leaders
Afghanistan – T20 Internationals 2026
Runs: Azmatullah Omarzai – 241 runs, 34.43 a match, HS 116 | Ibrahim Zadran – 216 runs, 27 a match, HS 87 | Darwish Rasooli – 213 runs, 26.63 a match, HS 84
Wickets: Rashid Khan – 12 wickets, 1.5 a match | Abdullah Ahmadzai – 8 wickets, 1.6 a match | Azmatullah Omarzai – 8 wickets, 1.14 a match
Zimbabwe – T20 Internationals 2026
Runs: Ryan Burl – 200 runs, 25 a match, HS 54 | Sikandar Raza – 178 runs, 22.25 a match, HS 106 | Brian Bennett – 169 runs, 21.13 a match, HS 47
Wickets: Brad Evans – 11 wickets, 1.38 a match | Richard Ngarava – 10 wickets, 2 a match | Blessing Muzarabani – 8 wickets, 1.33 a match
Predicted XIs
Afghanistan (based on XI vs Zimbabwe, 29 Oct 2026)
- Rahmanullah Gurbaz (wk)
- Ibrahim Zadran (c)
- Mohammad Akram Zazai
- Sediqullah Atal
- Shahidullah Kamal
- Azmatullah Omarzai
- Ijaz Ahmad Ahmadzai
- Rashid Khan
- Mujeeb Ur Rahman
- Fareed Ahmad
- Abdullah Ahmadzai
Zimbabwe (based on XI vs Afghanistan, 29 Oct 2026)
- Brian Bennett
- Innocent Kaia
- Sikandar Raza (c)
- Ryan Burl
- Tadiwanashe Marumani (wk)
- Wesley Madhevere
- Tafadzwa Tsiga
- Brad Evans
- Kundai Matigimu
- Ernest Masuku
- Vincent Masekesa
These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.
Dream11 Captain and Vice Captain Picks
Captain: Azmatullah Omarzai (AFG) – projected 107.6 pts. The Afghanistan all-rounder has been their standout performer this cycle with 241 runs at 34.43 a match and 8 wickets. His explosive batting and useful bowling make him the safest captaincy option.
Vice Captain: Brad Evans (ZIM) – projected 96.4 pts. Zimbabwe’s leading wicket-taker with 11 wickets at 1.38 a match, Evans has taken 2+ wickets in 60% of his matches this cycle. His all-round contributions with bat and ball provide consistent fantasy value.
Also consider:
- Sikandar Raza (ZIM) – projected 92.1 pts – Zimbabwe’s captain with 178 runs and dual-threat ability
- Rashid Khan (AFG) – projected 85.1 pts – 12 wickets this cycle, 87.5% hit rate for 1+ wicket
- Ryan Burl (ZIM) – projected runs leader with 200 runs at 25 a match, 75% hit rate for 20+ runs
Key Players
Azmatullah Omarzai (Afghanistan)
Afghanistan’s standout performer this cycle. Omarzai has amassed 241 runs at 34.43 a match with a high score of 116, while also taking 8 wickets at 1.14 a match. His last three scores of 17, 7 and 116 show his explosive potential. The Statz bet builder shows he has taken 1+ wicket in 71.4% of his matches this cycle, making him a genuine dual threat.
Rashid Khan (Afghanistan)
Afghanistan’s premier spinner and match-winner. Rashid has taken 12 wickets at 1.5 a match across 8 outings this cycle. His 87.5% hit rate for 1+ wicket is among the most reliable in the tournament. Against Zimbabwe, he has claimed 30 wickets in 12 meetings – a devastating record that underlines his dominance in this fixture.
Ryan Burl (Zimbabwe)
Zimbabwe’s leading run-scorer with 200 runs at 25 a match and a high score of 54. Burl has scored 20+ runs in 75% of his matches this cycle and 30+ runs in 37.5% of them – rare consistency for a middle-order batter. His last three scores of 54, 32 and 2 show he remains their most reliable accumulator.
Brad Evans (Zimbabwe)
Zimbabwe’s leading wicket-taker with 11 wickets at 1.38 a match. Evans has taken 2+ wickets in 62.5% of his matches this cycle – an exceptional strike rate. His last three returns of 2, 2 and 2 wickets show a bowler in peak form, though he faces a stern examination against Afghanistan’s batting lineup.
Who Will Win Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe?
Afghanistan are strong favourites at 64.1% to win. The Statz projections make them clear winners regardless of who bats first, and their recent form – two straight victories over Zimbabwe – combined with their 13-1 head-to-head record tells the story. Zimbabwe have lost their last three and sit 12th in the ICC rankings; Afghanistan are 10th and climbing. This is a mismatch on current evidence.
Betting Angles
Zimbabwe offer value at the odds despite their poor form. The Statz bet builder shows indicative odds of 4.0 at Midnite with a true probability of 29.5%, giving a 4.5% edge. Ladbrokes, Coral and bet365 all quote 3.75 (11/4), while Boylesports go 3.5 (5/2). Zimbabwe’s bowling attack – led by Brad Evans (11 wickets) and Richard Ngarava (10 wickets) – can restrict Afghanistan, and Sikandar Raza’s all-round threat keeps them in any game.
For Afghanistan backers, the projections support the favourite. Look to Azmatullah Omarzai for 20+ runs (42.9% hit rate) or Rashid Khan for 1+ wicket (87.5% hit rate) as supporting plays.
Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe Prediction FAQ
Q: Who will win Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe?
A: Afghanistan are strong favourites at 64.1% to win. They have won 13 of their last 14 T20 Internationals against Zimbabwe and have won their last two meetings. Zimbabwe have lost their last three and sit 12th in the rankings.
Q: What is the projected score for this match?
A: The Statz projections show a match total around 297 runs. If Afghanistan bat first, expect around 158 in the first innings and 301 overall. If Zimbabwe bat first, the figures drop to 150 and 293 respectively.
Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?
A: Afghanistan win 64% batting first and 64.1% bowling first – a marginal difference. The toss is almost immaterial in this matchup; Afghanistan’s quality makes them favourites either way.
Q: Is Afghanistan a good bet?
A: Yes. At indicative odds around 1.60-1.70, Afghanistan’s 64.1% win probability offers value. Their recent form, ranking advantage and head-to-head dominance all support backing them. Zimbabwe’s odds of 3.75-4.0 reflect their poor recent record and lower ranking, though their bowling attack can make it competitive.