Saint Lucia Kings vs Guyana Amazon Warriors Prediction, Projections & Preview
Dan
Saint Lucia Kings host Guyana Amazon Warriors at the Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium on Wednesday for a Caribbean Premier League clash. First ball is at 23:00 IST (18:30 local) on 19 August 2026.
Saint Lucia Kings sit 2nd in the CPL standings on 4 points from 4 matches (W2 L2), while Guyana Amazon Warriors are 3rd on 2 points from just 1 match (W1 L0). The Warriors have played significantly fewer games and will be looking to build momentum, but the Kings have home advantage and recent match practice on their side. For full H2H records, projections and live lineups, head to the Statz fixture page.
The Venue and Toss
The Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium is a high-scoring ground. Across the last 10 T20 matches here, the average match total stands at 338 runs – a genuinely explosive venue where both batting and bowling units are tested. The average first-innings score is 178.2, suggesting strong batting conditions throughout the innings.
Boundary percentage sits at 62.6%, meaning nearly two-thirds of runs come from fours and sixes. Seam bowlers have taken 46.6% of wickets at an economy of 10.65, while spinners account for 49.1% of dismissals at a tighter 7.76. The pitch is tagged as Balanced – no clear advantage to bat-first or bowl-first teams. Home teams at this venue have won 36.8% of matches, suggesting the toss is less decisive than at other grounds, but the team batting second has a slight edge in chases.
Form and Table
Saint Lucia Kings – 2nd (P4 W2 L2, 4 pts)
The Kings have had a mixed start to their CPL campaign. They beat Antigua & Barbuda Falcons by 3 wickets on 14 August (DLS method) but fell to Barbados Royals by 9 runs on 16 August. Before that, they lost to St Kitts and Nevis Patriots by 5 wickets. Their form reads W-L-W-L across the last four matches – inconsistency is the story so far.
Guyana Amazon Warriors – 3rd (P1 W1 L0, 2 pts)
The Warriors have played only one match this season, a comfortable 7-wicket win over Jamaica Kingsmen on 14 August. With just one game under their belt, they are still finding their rhythm in the tournament. Their net run rate of 2.479 is the best in the league, but a single match is not enough to judge form.
Standings Snapshot
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barbados Royals | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia Kings | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Guyana Amazon Warriors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Trinbago Knight Riders | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 5 | St Kitts and Nevis Patriots | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
These two sides have met 11 times in T20 cricket. Guyana Amazon Warriors lead the overall record 6-4 with 1 no-result. However, the last five meetings tell a different story – Guyana have won three of the last five, but Saint Lucia have taken two recent victories. The most recent clash saw Guyana win by 14 runs on 18 September (fixture date suggests a future match in the dataset), but this is a competitive fixture with nothing to separate them on recent form.
Statz Projections
The Statz projections make this a genuine coin-flip contest.
If Saint Lucia bat first: Projected first-innings total of 170.2, match total of 329.5. Win probability – SLK 42.5%, GAW 55.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 143 to 198.
If Guyana bat first: Projected first-innings total of 171.7, match total of 331.2. Win probability – SLK 49.8%, GAW 48.2%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 144 to 199.
Both projected match totals (329-331) sit just below the Darren Sammy average of 338, suggesting the model rates both bowling attacks as competitive. The projected first-innings totals of around 171 are slightly below the venue average of 178.2. Match total P10-P90 range: 262 to 349.
Predicted XIs
Saint Lucia Kings (based on XI vs Barbados Royals, 16 Aug 2026)
- Johann Jeremiah
- Roston Chase (c)
- Ackeem Auguste
- Jewel Andrew (wk)
- Charith Asalanka
- Matthew Forde
- Shadley van Schalkwyk
- Amari Goodridge
- Joshua Bishop
- Maheesh Theekshana
- Khari Campbell
Guyana Amazon Warriors (based on XI vs Jamaica Kingsmen, 14 Aug 2026)
- Glenn Phillips
- Mavendra Dindyal
- Shai Hope (wk)
- Shimron Hetmyer
- Mohammad Nabi
- Quentin Sampson
- Romario Shepherd
- Shamar Joseph
- Dwaine Pretorius
- Khary Pierre
- Imran Tahir (c)
These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.
Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain
Based on projected fantasy points for players in the most recent XIs:
Captain: Shamar Joseph (GAW) – projected 83.6 pts. The Guyana fast bowler is the highest-projected player across both teams. With 1.62 projected wickets per match and an economy of 10.29, he offers explosive upside in a high-scoring venue.
Vice Captain: Dwaine Pretorius (GAW) – projected 77.5 pts. The South African all-rounder projects 15.1 runs and 1.05 wickets, making him a genuine dual-threat player. His strike rate of 143.3 suggests aggressive batting when called upon.
Also consider:
- Imran Tahir (GAW) – projected 76 pts – the experienced leg-spinner with 1.44 projected wickets
- Roston Chase (SLK) – projected 74.6 pts – captain with 17.1 projected runs and 0.79 wickets
- Mohammad Nabi (GAW) – projected 72.4 pts – all-rounder with 13.7 projected runs and 0.93 wickets
Key Players
Roston Chase (Saint Lucia Kings)
The Kings captain has been the standout performer for his side this season. Chase has 207 runs across 9 matches at an average of 23, plus 8 wickets with his off-spin. He is the competition leader in wickets alongside Matthew Forde and has taken 2+ wickets in 75% of his matches. His dual role as captain and all-rounder makes him the linchpin of the Saint Lucia attack and batting order.
Shai Hope (Guyana Amazon Warriors)
The Guyana opener is their most prolific run-scorer across all CPL cricket. Hope has 323 runs in 10 matches with 14 sixes – an aggressive approach that suits the Darren Sammy ground perfectly. His 8 catches also highlight his value as a fielder. He is the anchor of the Warriors batting lineup.
Matthew Forde (Saint Lucia Kings)
The Kings all-rounder has been exceptional this season. Forde has taken 7 wickets in 4 matches (100% hit rate for 1+ wicket) and has also contributed 52 runs with the bat. His economy of 10.01 is tight for a high-scoring venue, and he has taken 2+ wickets in 25% of his matches. A genuine game-changer on both sides of the ball.
Imran Tahir (Guyana Amazon Warriors)
The Afghanistan leg-spinner brings world-class experience to the Warriors attack. Tahir has taken 12 wickets in just 1 match this season (an extraordinary strike rate), and his economy of 7.44 is the tightest among the bowlers in this fixture. He is a key player in Guyana’s bowling strategy.
Who will win Saint Lucia Kings vs Guyana Amazon Warriors?
Guyana Amazon Warriors are slight favourites at 51.9% win probability, according to the Statz model. This is a coin-flip contest, but the Warriors edge it due to their superior recent form (1-0 record) and their strong net run rate. However, Saint Lucia’s home advantage and greater match practice (4 games vs 1) cannot be ignored.
The key factor is the toss. If Saint Lucia bat first, Guyana’s win probability jumps to 55.5% – the Warriors are stronger in chases. If Guyana bat first, the match becomes nearly level at 49.8% for Saint Lucia. The home side’s inconsistency (W-L-W-L) is a concern, but they have the bowling depth to restrict Guyana’s aggressive batters.
I am leaning Guyana Amazon Warriors here. Their one-match record is perfect, their net run rate leads the league, and they have match-winners like Shai Hope, Mohammad Nabi and Imran Tahir. Saint Lucia’s form is patchy, and the Warriors’ fresh momentum gives them the edge in what is otherwise a tight fixture.
Best Bets and Bet Builder Angles
The Statz bet builder highlights two strong value angles:
- Johann Jeremiah Over 14.5 Runs (SLK) – 1.83 at Ladbrokes and Coral. The Kings opener has a projected 64.8% true probability of clearing this line, offering 10.2% edge. A solid opening-bat play on a high-scoring ground.
- Saint Lucia Kings Match Winner – 2.5 at Ladbrokes, Coral and Boylesports (2.32 at bet365). The model projects 43.1% win probability for the Kings, making the 2.5 odds a slight value play. Home advantage and match practice are real factors.
Saint Lucia Kings vs Guyana Amazon Warriors Prediction FAQ
Q: Who will win Saint Lucia Kings vs Guyana Amazon Warriors?
A: Guyana Amazon Warriors are slight favourites at 51.9% win probability. This is a coin-flip contest, but the Warriors edge it due to their perfect 1-0 record and superior net run rate. Saint Lucia’s home advantage and greater match practice keep it competitive.
Q: What is the projected match total?
A: The Statz model projects a match total of 330 runs. Both teams’ projected first-innings totals sit around 171, slightly below the Darren Sammy average of 338. Expect a high-scoring game but not record-breaking.
Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?
A: The toss is neutral at this venue (36.8% home win rate). However, if Guyana win the toss and bowl first, they gain a 55.5% win probability – the Warriors are stronger in chases. Saint Lucia would prefer to bat first.
Q: Is Guyana Amazon Warriors a good bet?
A: At indicative odds of around 1.95-2.0, Guyana offer fair value. Their 51.9% win probability is slightly better than the implied odds, and their recent form plus net run rate support the pick. However, this is a tight fixture with nothing to separate the sides on paper.