LSG vs CSK Preview – IPL 2026 | Statz

LSG vs CSK: A Second Crack at the Same Fixture

Four days on from CSK’s chase-down at the Ekana – 208/5 in 19.2 overs against LSG’s 203/8 – these two sides meet again, same ground, same stakes. Lucknow are 10th with six points from 11 games. Chennai sit fifth with 12, still in genuine playoff contention. Statz gives CSK a 52% win probability to LSG’s 46%.

Full H2H stats, projections and lineups: LSG vs CSK on Statz

Venue: Ekana, Lucknow

The Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium averages 175 in the first innings and 164 in the second across 26 T20s. Bat-first wins 46% of the time – it’s not a decisive advantage either way. Pace takes 64% of wickets here at an economy of 9.07; spin is slightly cheaper at 8.21. Openers dominate run-scoring, accounting for top score in 23 of 52 innings. LSG’s last game here saw them post 209/3 and hold it comfortably.

Current Form

Lucknow Super Giants (3W-8L): One win in five – a 209/3 effort against RCB on 7 May. Three of the five losses have been close: they conceded in the 19th over to CSK on 10 May, fell off 228/5 against MI, and lost on a rain-shortened KKR game by a single run. Average runs scored this season: 173. Average conceded: 182. The gap is the problem.

Chennai Super Kings (6W-5L): Three on the bounce before this – beat LSG at the Ekana, chased 155 vs DC, and knocked off MI in two consecutive games. Ruturaj Gaikwad is their top scorer with 225 runs in five matches; Shivam Dube has 203 from six. Anshul Kamboj leads the wickets column for CSK with three in the competition so far.

Head-to-Head

Three wins apiece all-time in this fixture. The most recent outing went CSK’s way – and they’ll come into this one with the same lineup that downed LSG four days ago. Full H2H record on Statz.

Statz Projections

Statz projects 175 runs in the first innings and 165 in the second when CSK bat first. When LSG bat first: 176 vs 165. There’s very little between them on the numbers – this is a coin-flip match, with CSK holding a marginal edge based on current form.

Venue context from Statz: average match total 340, avg sixes 13.8, boundary percentage 58% of scoring. A par chase target sits around 165-175 at this ground.

Key Players to Watch

Jamie Overton (CSK) – Top Statz projection from the confirmed lineups at 89.4 projected Dream11 points. The big-hitting allrounder is a genuine X-factor at number seven. Jamie Overton on Statz

Sanju Samson (CSK) – New signing who goes at a projected 167 strike rate, 38 runs when CSK bat first. Dangerous at the top. Sanju Samson on Statz

Mitchell Marsh (LSG) – LSG’s most consistent top-order option. Statz has him at 60% last-five hit rate for 20+ runs. Mitchell Marsh on Statz

Mohammed Shami (LSG) – Back in the XI and dangerous at this venue which heavily favours pace. Mohammed Shami on Statz

Urvil Patel (CSK) – Opening for CSK, with a projected 70% chance of clearing 19.5 runs according to Statz. One to watch in the powerplay. Urvil Patel on Statz

Best Bets (Statz)

• Urvil Patel Over 19.5 Runs @ 1.83 – Statz true probability 70.1% vs 54.6% implied. Edge of 15.5%. Medium confidence. Strong value play for an opener in T20.
• Urvil Patel 3+ Sixes @ 2.75 – True prob 50.6% vs 36.4% implied. Edge 14.3%. He’s batting to attack at the top of the order.
• Rishabh Pant 1+ Sixes @ 1.83 – True prob 66.7% vs 54.6% implied. Edge 12.1%. Pant is a power-hitter – one six from him is a reasonable expectation.

Fantasy Cricket – Dream11 Captain/VC Picks

Based on the confirmed playing XIs and Statz projections:

• Captain: Jamie Overton (CSK) – highest projected points from the confirmed lineup
• Vice-Captain: Anshul Kamboj (CSK) – 85.1 projected, 80% last-five wicket-taking rate
• Other strong picks: Sanju Samson, Mitchell Marsh, Aiden Markram, Ruturaj Gaikwad, Mohammed Shami

Based on last-match XIs. Check the LSG vs CSK fixture page for confirmed changes after the toss.

Prediction

CSK are in better form and have the firepower to back it up. Their recent win over LSG at this very venue gives them psychological edge. Statz leans CSK at 52% – that’s thin, but backed by the numbers. CSK to win.

Full LSG vs CSK stats and live projections on Statz

Competition table: IPL 2026 Standings

LSG team page: Lucknow Super Giants

CSK team page: Chennai Super Kings