GT vs SRH Preview – IPL 2026 | Statz

Gujarat Titans and Sunrisers Hyderabad meet at Narendra Modi Stadium on Tuesday evening in what is a genuinely significant IPL 2026 contest. Both sides sit on 14 points from 11 games, locked level with table-leaders RCB heading into the final stretch of the league stage. GT are placed third, SRH second. Every point matters now. Kick-off is 7:30 PM IST (3:00 PM BST).

The Venue

Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad is a batting paradise. Over the last 30 T20s here, the average first innings score sits at 192.1 and batting sides win 53% of the time. Average match total is 363.3, with 17.6 sixes and 29.7 fours per game. Top-order openers score the majority of runs – this surface rewards aggressive strokeplay from ball one.

Pace bowlers take 68.1% of wickets but go at 9.52 per over. Spinners are marginally more economical at 9.31 but take far fewer wickets (26.6%). Neither discipline gets much purchase – conditions here are firmly in the batters’ favour. The most recent match at this ground: GT beat PBKS 167/6 to 163/9 on 03 May 2026.

Form and Table

GT last 5: W vs RR (229/4 beat 152/10) – W vs PBKS (167/6 beat 163/9) – W vs RCB (158/6 beat 155/10) – W vs CSK (162/2 beat 158/7) – L vs RCB (205/3 lost to 206/5)

SRH last 5: W vs PBKS (235/4 beat 202/7) – L vs KKR (165/10 lost to 169/3) – W vs MI (249/4 beat 243/5) – W vs RR (229/5 beat 228/6) – W vs DC (242/2 beat 195/9)

IPL 2026 Table – Top 4:

Both sides have three games remaining in the league stage. GT have won four on the bounce at this venue this season – they are very much at home here.

Head-to-Head

GT and SRH have met 7 times since 2022 (Statz data). GT lead 5-1 with one match abandoned. It is a dominant record from the home side. The last meeting saw GT post 224/6 and restrict SRH to 186/6, winning by 38 runs at this same venue on 02 May 2025. SRH have never won in four attempts at Narendra Modi Stadium – they are 0-4 here all-time.

Statz Projections

With GT batting first, Statz projects a first innings total of 188.9 (P10: 162, P90: 216) and a match total of 367.1. Win probability is almost exactly split – GT 48.5%, SRH 49.5%. The projected match total of 367.1 comes in just above the venue average of 363.3, confirming this should be another high-scoring affair in Ahmedabad.

The batting paradise tag bears out in the numbers. Expect a first innings between 170 and 210 in most simulations. With the toss potentially flipping these scenarios, the pre-match numbers suggest a very even contest on the day.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap Top 5:

1. Heinrich Klaasen (SRH) – 494 runs, 11 innings
2. Lokesh Rahul (DC) – 477 runs, 12 innings
3. Abhishek Sharma (SRH) – 475 runs, 11 innings
4. Shubman Gill (GT) – 462 runs, 10 innings
5. Sai Sudharsan (GT) – 440 runs, 11 innings

Purple Cap Top 5:

1. Bhuvneshwar Kumar (RCB) – 21 wickets
2. Anshul Kamboj – 19 wickets
3. Kagiso Rabada (GT) – 18 wickets
4. Prince Yadav – 16 wickets
5. Eshan Malinga (SRH) – 16 wickets

GT Season Run Leaders: Shubman Gill 462 (avg 46.2, HS 86) – Sai Sudharsan 440 (avg 40.0, HS 100) – Jos Buttler 348 (avg 31.64, HS 60)

GT Season Wicket Leaders: Kagiso Rabada 18 (avg 1.64, HS 3) – Rashid Khan 15 (avg 1.36, HS 4) – Prasidh Krishna 12 (avg 1.71, HS 4)

SRH Season Run Leaders: Heinrich Klaasen 494 (avg 44.91, HS 69) – Abhishek Sharma 475 (avg 43.18, HS 135) – Ishan Kishan 409 (avg 37.18, HS 91)

SRH Season Wicket Leaders: Eshan Malinga 16 (avg 1.45, HS 4) – Sakib Hussain 10 (avg 1.43, HS 4) – Shivang Kumar 8 (avg 0.89, HS 3)

Predicted XIs

Gujarat Titans (as of 09 May 2026 vs Rajasthan Royals):
Shubman Gill (c), Sai Sudharsan, Jos Buttler (wk), Washington Sundar, Nishant Sindhu, Jason Holder, Rahul Tewatia, Rashid Khan, Arshad Khan, Kagiso Rabada, Mohammed Siraj

Sunrisers Hyderabad (as of 06 May 2026 vs Punjab Kings):
Abhishek Sharma, Travis Head, Ishan Kishan (wk), Heinrich Klaasen, Salil Arora, Ravichandran Smaran, Nitish Kumar Reddy, Pat Cummins (c), Eshan Malinga, Sakib Hussain, Shivang Kumar

Check the GT vs SRH fixture page for any toss-driven changes before finalising your Dream11 team.

Dream11 Tips

Captain: Jason Holder (124.3 projected points) – the all-rounder is projected top of both teams when GT bat. Bowling and batting contribution make him the standout pick.

Vice Captain: Sai Sudharsan (98.5 projected points) – highest-projected batter in this match. Consistent form and a ground he loves.

Next 3 picks by projected Dream11 points (in_recent_xi):

1. Shubman Gill – 85.6 pts
2. Kagiso Rabada – 82.9 pts
3. Rashid Khan – 81.6 pts

Key Players

Heinrich Klaasen is in blistering form – the Orange Cap leader with 494 runs this season. His runs 20+ hit rate is 90.9% for the season, 90% in his last 10, and 80% in the last five. On a batting paradise against a ground where SRH have struggled, he will need to carry them.

Sai Sudharsan has been GT’s most consistent performer alongside Gill. He runs 20+ hit rate is 80% in his last five innings – and Statz projects him at 50.4 runs in this match with an edge of +17.2% on the Over 30.5 runs line at 1.83. The best bet of this fixture.

Shubman Gill averages 46.2 this season and hits 20+ in 80% of innings over the last five and last ten. He averages 42.9 runs per innings at this venue and is GT’s top scorer in H2H fixtures against SRH with 303 runs from 6 matches.

Kagiso Rabada leads the Purple Cap race for GT with 18 wickets this season. He is a powerplay and death bowling weapon and with Statz projecting 1.51 wickets in this match, he is a high-probability wicket-taker at this venue.

Conditions

Clear skies in Ahmedabad, 41 degrees C at start time – a hot evening with no weather interruptions expected.

Verdict and Betting Angles

GT are the pick at home. Their record at Narendra Modi Stadium this season is flawless – four wins from four – and they have beaten SRH five times in six competitive meetings. SRH are 0-4 at this venue all-time. The odds at 1.86 on bet365 reflect the genuine uncertainty, but the conditions and home record point firmly to a GT victory.

Bet365 Match Odds:
GT: 1.86
SRH: 1.86

Bet Builder Angles – build your bet here:

• Sai Sudharsan Over 30.5 runs – 80% hit rate in last 5, Statz edge +17.2% at 1.83
• Shubman Gill to score 20+ runs – 80% hit rate in last 5 and last 10 this season
• Heinrich Klaasen to score 20+ runs – 90.9% season hit rate, 90% in last 10 – the form batter in this tournament
• Kagiso Rabada to take a wicket – 18 wickets this season, high projected returns on a surface where pace takes 68% of wickets